Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-01-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 269135 5837 59 2 0
c1 15748 26332 5876 2135 0
c2 16953 4878 11182 9251 0
c3 26276 366 2004 7105 0
c4 12587 98 335 877 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 269343 2864 21 12 0
c1 17738 24639 6028 1577 0
c2 11788 6697 12113 9615 0
c3 5800 731 3695 8596 0
c4 9051 132 490 1052 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 266688 3971 8 0 0
c1 19456 26477 6061 1009 0
c2 19377 4377 11111 9067 0
c3 24693 923 2288 7037 0
c4 12535 11 684 1208 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 265697 3405 9 0 0
c1 16429 22663 8954 2593 0
c2 16530 4194 13468 9748 0
c3 24294 346 2149 7864 0
c4 15355 0 157 703 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 266734 4146 9 1 0
c1 15777 22079 9088 2611 0
c2 16835 4104 13449 9907 0
c3 23853 279 2048 7732 0
c4 15106 0 143 657 0

Date: 2025-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 264231 3240 7 0 0
c1 18536 22058 6967 1956 0
c2 16035 3928 12159 10429 0
c3 16059 605 3045 9720 0
c4 4189 57 446 1548 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 265736 4110 5 0 0
c1 17461 21226 7215 1947 0
c2 15808 3969 12096 10749 0
c3 15929 527 2891 9487 0
c4 4116 56 417 1470 0

Date: 2025-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 264083 2691 6 1 0
c1 16724 21569 6398 1941 0
c2 17882 3733 11006 9966 0
c3 23487 614 3089 5963 0
c4 7108 16 359 1532 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 263933 3605 6 1 0
c1 16664 18794 5936 1755 0
c2 16229 5006 10425 8914 0
c3 24246 1137 3791 6919 0
c4 8212 81 700 1814 0

Date: 2025-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 261782 2508 1 0 0
c1 15456 22088 6517 1901 0
c2 19069 5488 12683 9710 0
c3 19576 860 3256 8529 0
c4 9211 0 589 1873 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 260305 3312 20 0 0
c1 17197 18672 5293 1635 0
c2 17385 6984 12771 9028 0
c3 19596 1845 3982 9226 0
c4 10611 131 980 2124 0

Date: 2025-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 260233 2763 3 0 0
c1 11692 24326 5553 1374 0
c2 12129 8257 13936 9694 0
c3 16491 1276 4837 10344 0
c4 5527 72 829 2098 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 257602 3081 21 11 0
c1 13425 20217 4577 1267 0
c2 13056 10179 13339 8599 0
c3 15910 2831 5951 11501 0
c4 6079 386 1270 2132 0


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