Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 323505 8052 17 2 0
c1 16076 26656 8435 1373 0
c2 20862 3527 13504 11334 0
c3 5262 934 3953 8067 0
c4 1817 66 625 1324 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 320391 7473 6 2 0
c1 16519 26426 8719 1547 0
c2 26486 3724 11220 8999 0
c3 11607 710 4077 8245 0
c4 5292 177 672 1378 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 316565 7729 7 0 0
c1 14166 30285 10497 1584 0
c2 15125 4072 12638 10041 0
c3 3942 584 6335 15241 0
c4 1334 35 573 1662 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 312528 6122 9 2 0
c1 20298 27614 9140 2136 0
c2 16051 4939 10224 9100 0
c3 6434 1085 6109 15867 0
c4 6626 76 483 1266 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 313196 6519 21 2 0
c1 19852 27284 9140 2165 0
c2 15908 4870 10387 9030 0
c3 6380 1097 5929 15888 0
c4 6601 66 488 1286 0

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 307712 5948 22 2 0
c1 19461 28760 8289 2360 0
c2 15467 5062 11401 10141 0
c3 5915 982 4896 13807 0
c4 4213 176 697 1784 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 308639 6455 21 2 0
c1 18675 28161 7701 2418 0
c2 15263 5216 12146 10166 0
c3 5978 982 4724 13744 0
c4 4213 114 713 1764 0

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 308875 5433 12 0 0
c1 16595 30916 7374 1848 0
c2 25627 2927 12419 11787 0
c3 12545 290 1688 6680 0
c4 5034 39 508 1236 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 306452 6014 12 0 0
c1 17732 27893 5601 1647 0
c2 22326 4389 11937 8563 0
c3 16938 1186 3679 9618 0
c4 5228 123 772 1723 0

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 306742 6026 0 2 0
c1 17834 28544 7622 966 0
c2 26851 4627 14077 10435 0
c3 15989 307 2221 10135 0
c4 6123 50 617 1430 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 303377 6886 9 2 0
c1 19088 24192 5888 873 0
c2 24136 7073 13809 8146 0
c3 20568 1315 3893 12103 0
c4 6370 88 938 1844 0

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 306346 4824 6 2 0
c1 18129 25896 7086 1353 0
c2 22442 5177 12625 11517 0
c3 10303 452 2856 13765 0
c4 4086 49 508 1848 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 300775 5538 14 2 0
c1 21328 21434 5550 1083 0
c2 21283 7528 12629 10320 0
c3 13479 1836 4092 14645 0
c4 4441 62 796 2435 0


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