Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 336937 9213 10 6 0
c1 13863 29508 6742 1222 0
c2 19039 5599 14562 16050 0
c3 6387 2302 2384 4490 0
c4 5503 1151 1823 1782 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 334283 9259 21 2 0
c1 17140 25591 5227 933 0
c2 27375 4780 12440 11565 0
c3 8400 1435 2730 4384 0
c4 9396 1135 1223 1396 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 329884 8442 19 4 0
c1 16456 28799 6022 1004 0
c2 28387 2752 12121 10332 0
c3 8728 879 3513 6100 0
c4 4555 151 754 1406 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 325404 8250 9 3 0
c1 14683 28307 7816 1379 0
c2 15627 4802 15266 11749 0
c3 3656 1120 4092 8322 0
c4 1813 116 737 1476 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 325540 8274 4 2 0
c1 14771 28239 7737 1369 0
c2 15486 4823 15357 11823 0
c3 3585 1156 4092 8307 0
c4 1801 103 730 1428 0

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 322622 7194 6 2 0
c1 15806 26292 8590 1563 0
c2 15370 3488 12819 12911 0
c3 5173 733 3835 8891 0
c4 6615 44 580 1023 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 322934 7332 6 2 0
c1 15684 26091 8505 1525 0
c2 15281 3532 12852 12945 0
c3 5110 752 3911 8923 0
c4 6577 44 556 995 0

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 318490 7782 12 0 0
c1 15068 28442 10338 1831 0
c2 14843 4087 12067 11219 0
c3 6733 251 4719 11155 0
c4 10492 0 218 760 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 317472 8681 12 0 0
c1 15837 26926 9208 1716 0
c2 14224 4503 13674 11225 0
c3 7198 451 4150 11420 0
c4 10895 1 310 604 0

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 314366 7601 10 0 0
c1 15276 29847 10101 2230 0
c2 13466 5198 12464 9541 0
c3 5041 820 6993 15341 0
c4 2041 71 805 1560 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 312817 7740 10 0 0
c1 16692 28116 8420 1920 0
c2 13890 5952 14409 9628 0
c3 4681 1566 6460 15659 0
c4 2110 163 1074 1465 0

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 308831 6898 0 6 0
c1 19392 29369 9316 1877 0
c2 17163 5007 10963 8190 0
c3 5765 1147 5375 15554 0
c4 8795 131 561 1096 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 307185 7661 2 6 0
c1 20382 27489 7190 1027 0
c2 17403 5394 13675 9333 0
c3 6531 1693 4536 15155 0
c4 8445 315 812 1202 0


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