Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 346800 11398 8 2 0
c1 22616 29397 11827 1329 0
c2 17278 4897 16365 8969 0
c3 4312 1373 1783 2273 0
c4 3415 768 826 3719 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 341768 11448 16 0 0
c1 20079 30442 7960 1051 0
c2 19677 5229 17936 11098 0
c3 5932 1766 2360 2270 0
c4 10337 571 825 2218 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 340671 9391 26 11 0
c1 21272 28346 7972 519 0
c2 23878 4513 16942 12719 0
c3 6706 1426 1711 3700 0
c4 10264 577 1050 1593 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 338735 8740 11 2 0
c1 18019 28254 6250 1268 0
c2 18251 4307 14455 16563 0
c3 4106 1920 2437 4496 0
c4 7032 1038 1948 1138 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 338469 8805 16 2 0
c1 18299 28131 6424 1397 0
c2 18303 4338 14136 16385 0
c3 4049 1944 2581 4548 0
c4 7023 1041 1944 1135 0

Date: 2024-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 334413 10544 10 2 0
c1 15520 28467 5040 729 0
c2 22205 4803 14050 13472 0
c3 7130 1852 2794 4294 0
c4 7207 966 1900 2131 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 334134 10635 9 2 0
c1 15992 28304 5153 769 0
c2 22144 4835 13884 13410 0
c3 7024 1927 2853 4364 0
c4 7181 931 1895 2083 0

Date: 2024-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 332336 8544 24 4 0
c1 14903 29209 6247 1181 0
c2 18552 3479 15001 13880 0
c3 5816 972 3383 5287 0
c4 7561 201 1179 1576 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 331841 9745 24 0 0
c1 14371 26520 5612 1401 0
c2 18414 4271 15346 14247 0
c3 6566 1150 3189 4745 0
c4 7976 719 1663 1535 0

Date: 2024-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 328094 7787 21 5 0
c1 14126 29619 7051 1140 0
c2 13231 4890 16705 13511 0
c3 3991 1038 3986 9231 0
c4 5008 194 1021 1260 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 327302 8350 9 2 0
c1 13883 27510 6863 1373 0
c2 12803 5881 16767 14665 0
c3 3744 1255 4134 8017 0
c4 6718 532 1011 1090 0

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 323505 8052 17 2 0
c1 16076 26656 8435 1373 0
c2 20862 3527 13504 11334 0
c3 5262 934 3953 8067 0
c4 1817 66 625 1324 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 321778 8886 42 1 0
c1 17149 24081 7321 1196 0
c2 20358 4712 13473 12042 0
c3 5235 1184 4566 7387 0
c4 3002 372 1132 1474 0


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