Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 361399 13747 14 0 0
c1 21997 43500 11576 573 0
c2 3299 6599 11281 4860 0
c3 2753 2283 2884 3322 0
c4 1592 679 1770 3522 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 353686 14837 9 0 0
c1 28051 35430 7949 854 0
c2 9126 7766 12129 6785 0
c3 5549 1792 2355 2139 0
c4 5845 261 1095 2299 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 350740 12170 14 2 0
c1 23709 37891 12448 1155 0
c2 14134 5374 11313 6610 0
c3 4628 1548 1798 2159 0
c4 6637 562 1567 2094 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 346817 13007 15 0 0
c1 18119 35832 12932 1229 0
c2 8900 7057 18007 10006 0
c3 5100 1415 1675 1889 0
c4 5373 831 1392 2817 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 346759 13199 16 0 0
c1 18219 35537 12992 1176 0
c2 8923 7115 17741 10037 0
c3 5057 1455 1880 1933 0
c4 5351 836 1392 2795 0

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 344438 11680 6 0 0
c1 20955 29450 9760 1866 0
c2 17181 4068 18215 11347 0
c3 5134 1536 1984 2235 0
c4 5245 749 685 4213 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 344343 12016 11 0 0
c1 21050 28950 10178 1902 0
c2 17221 4193 17585 11293 0
c3 5127 1576 2186 2245 0
c4 5212 748 690 4221 0

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 341333 10301 14 2 0
c1 19065 29488 11053 1288 0
c2 8882 4107 21536 15855 0
c3 2651 1708 1806 3673 0
c4 2197 850 1028 2412 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 339873 11604 18 2 0
c1 21177 26701 7389 1048 0
c2 7913 5621 24312 16615 0
c3 2544 1918 2960 3621 0
c4 2621 610 758 1944 0

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 340200 8715 25 0 0
c1 17700 29393 6565 1361 0
c2 6720 5423 16861 20175 0
c3 1718 1728 2076 4819 0
c4 1784 623 1001 1664 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 338756 9223 34 0 0
c1 18848 26890 4293 1162 0
c2 7089 7587 18179 21522 0
c3 1627 1873 3281 4016 0
c4 1802 309 741 1319 0

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 336937 9213 10 6 0
c1 13863 29508 6742 1222 0
c2 19039 5599 14562 16050 0
c3 6387 2302 2384 4490 0
c4 5503 1151 1823 1782 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 334572 9803 20 6 0
c1 16146 26403 4020 975 0
c2 18194 8652 16478 16321 0
c3 6288 2352 3753 4890 0
c4 6529 563 1250 1358 0


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