Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 377869 15412 6 0 0
c1 23585 41027 4331 553 0
c2 4225 7551 5135 2455 0
c3 7130 3186 4045 4461 0
c4 4471 581 3604 6153 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 374058 14877 35 6 0
c1 25819 38088 6221 403 0
c2 4723 6746 6485 3021 0
c3 7136 2794 3053 4060 0
c4 5994 656 2342 7517 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 367723 14730 0 2 0
c1 26434 41916 10287 478 0
c2 4432 4859 6895 3420 0
c3 5169 2614 3236 2963 0
c4 6658 664 2183 7816 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 363185 14831 20 0 0
c1 27757 40491 9694 610 0
c2 5574 5612 8095 3798 0
c3 4877 2527 2585 2975 0
c4 6072 665 1893 10880 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 363444 15089 20 0 0
c1 27373 39888 9735 622 0
c2 5716 5892 7919 3704 0
c3 4928 2630 2702 3113 0
c4 6004 627 1911 10824 0

Date: 2024-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 357228 14563 10 0 0
c1 27211 37492 9847 792 0
c2 7574 6262 11090 5834 0
c3 4759 2217 2716 2263 0
c4 8033 557 1252 1369 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 357391 14502 16 0 0
c1 27180 37324 9926 813 0
c2 7434 6465 10698 5770 0
c3 4803 2272 3007 2297 0
c4 7997 528 1268 1378 0

Date: 2024-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 353036 11711 17 9 0
c1 25845 39569 11705 1152 0
c2 12213 3597 10506 6517 0
c3 4898 1330 1379 1959 0
c4 8521 411 1145 2624 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 352686 13013 10 9 0
c1 28063 31487 7882 798 0
c2 10389 9851 13609 6781 0
c3 5396 1727 2333 2455 0
c4 7979 540 918 2218 0

Date: 2024-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 348715 12601 6 2 0
c1 25037 33602 12123 980 0
c2 15128 5635 12753 7684 0
c3 4907 1572 1671 2168 0
c4 7818 760 2158 1962 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 347393 13053 8 2 0
c1 26381 29160 7058 736 0
c2 14793 9394 17353 7784 0
c3 5468 1860 2428 2580 0
c4 7570 703 1864 1694 0

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 346800 11398 8 2 0
c1 22616 29397 11827 1329 0
c2 17278 4897 16365 8969 0
c3 4312 1373 1783 2273 0
c4 3415 768 826 3719 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 344839 11395 11 2 0
c1 26462 26187 6463 682 0
c2 14954 8026 21317 9611 0
c3 4453 1556 2326 2585 0
c4 3713 669 692 3412 0


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