Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 396342 15403 25 3 0
c1 11424 39333 1642 282 0
c2 1422 8596 6045 1199 0
c3 7963 4983 10628 8480 0
c4 5889 1441 2772 4507 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 391395 13454 8 2 0
c1 20270 35474 1347 314 0
c2 2639 8276 5540 1674 0
c3 10950 4963 7144 6780 0
c4 10098 1594 2073 2769 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 385183 13321 6 0 0
c1 21058 44005 2973 324 0
c2 4018 6980 5194 2003 0
c3 7294 3207 5074 5059 0
c4 5058 442 3365 5936 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 381711 13524 6 2 0
c1 23847 39965 4207 783 0
c2 4513 6638 5424 2223 0
c3 7558 2502 4003 4560 0
c4 5358 464 3742 6804 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 382004 13617 6 2 0
c1 23573 39902 4479 861 0
c2 4519 6301 4865 2053 0
c3 7572 2806 4447 4843 0
c4 5319 467 3585 6613 0

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 377689 13548 6 0 0
c1 25512 38864 5197 563 0
c2 4861 6771 5438 2863 0
c3 7415 3295 3235 4250 0
c4 4697 754 3438 6170 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 377843 13924 6 0 0
c1 25310 38446 5631 689 0
c2 4860 6652 4803 2606 0
c3 7454 3501 3443 4525 0
c4 4707 709 3431 6026 0

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 371523 13307 10 20 0
c1 26251 43326 8744 304 0
c2 3722 4816 6469 3096 0
c3 3933 2200 3427 3500 0
c4 1757 741 2154 8030 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 371585 15030 10 20 0
c1 26532 37447 6158 351 0
c2 3403 7907 8067 2804 0
c3 4577 3469 4232 4096 0
c4 1089 537 2337 7679 0

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 365419 14741 12 2 0
c1 26821 41369 10875 203 0
c2 4896 5262 7735 3485 0
c3 5486 2723 2536 3136 0
c4 8905 540 1739 8138 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 364404 16236 12 2 0
c1 27230 34402 7136 270 0
c2 4910 9462 10818 3184 0
c3 7235 3954 3172 3676 0
c4 7748 581 1759 7832 0

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 361399 13747 14 0 0
c1 21997 43500 11576 573 0
c2 3299 6599 11281 4860 0
c3 2753 2283 2884 3322 0
c4 1592 679 1770 3522 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 359647 14948 29 2 0
c1 24400 34798 5714 838 0
c2 2534 12883 15666 4191 0
c3 3050 3622 4343 3739 0
c4 1409 557 1773 3507 0


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