Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234565 1683 1 0 0
c1 14857 14130 1648 702 0
c2 15030 8817 5595 3834 0
c3 25904 4286 10977 8549 0
c4 31889 864 4157 7408 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232679 1766 0 0 0
c1 14831 15210 1492 302 0
c2 9914 10487 8501 4439 0
c3 22007 5344 11507 9625 0
c4 35263 1430 5280 14317 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234347 1497 3 0 0
c1 14765 14946 1105 328 0
c2 11003 9690 9228 2663 0
c3 20946 3851 12211 11602 0
c4 19865 1002 4024 12282 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 235016 1458 8 6 0
c1 15678 12478 1025 492 0
c2 10999 10592 8491 2732 0
c3 15198 5204 13671 13716 0
c4 17848 1509 5455 14105 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 235003 1464 18 6 0
c1 15703 12440 1035 476 0
c2 10970 10693 8512 2661 0
c3 15089 5155 13626 13761 0
c4 17974 1489 5459 14147 0

Date: 2024-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234167 1371 10 0 0
c1 17315 10276 837 441 0
c2 13309 8794 6908 4105 0
c3 22254 4664 9545 12582 0
c4 40440 1564 4986 15024 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234087 1380 30 0 0
c1 17479 10130 857 480 0
c2 13184 9063 6805 4102 0
c3 22267 4555 9646 12474 0
c4 40468 1541 4948 15096 0

Date: 2024-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233883 1749 8 0 0
c1 13379 16084 901 435 0
c2 7527 13727 8946 4422 0
c3 16970 4702 12133 11404 0
c4 13242 1620 6216 17426 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232216 1948 9 0 0
c1 15202 13082 757 557 0
c2 7123 13931 7515 3496 0
c3 17704 6694 12670 11295 0
c4 12756 2227 7253 18339 0

Date: 2024-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232439 1383 3 0 0
c1 16166 14019 631 85 0
c2 10955 11903 8715 3483 0
c3 20035 3850 11859 10084 0
c4 39826 1506 5985 14627 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 231148 1836 3 0 0
c1 17389 11496 501 127 0
c2 10323 11860 7028 2962 0
c3 20432 5328 12965 9960 0
c4 40129 2141 6696 15230 0

Date: 2024-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232270 1504 11 2 0
c1 15076 14442 740 145 0
c2 13441 11271 7996 2338 0
c3 21689 3986 13231 9556 0
c4 44584 2205 5171 14160 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 230067 1760 11 1 0
c1 17237 12147 751 250 0
c2 11468 11888 6494 1874 0
c3 23017 4768 13318 9249 0
c4 45271 2845 6575 14827 0


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