Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-03-14

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240185 1063 2 0 0
c1 22271 9357 1313 511 0
c2 25043 2942 3854 2257 0
c3 40611 1067 2576 4231 0
c4 131202 582 988 2986 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 236863 1977 1 0 0
c1 15196 15443 2060 804 0
c2 12395 8813 7095 4733 0
c3 16628 5314 8191 11875 0
c4 10031 1391 3713 8673 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 236886 1416 0 0 0
c1 12920 16448 2157 557 0
c2 5438 11104 9038 6170 0
c3 8767 5538 12493 15614 0
c4 7116 1280 5162 10430 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234893 1911 7 0 0
c1 13336 15216 2385 643 0
c2 8337 8816 8519 5296 0
c3 8210 4628 11486 14337 0
c4 10705 1129 4268 10464 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 235038 2018 7 0 0
c1 13117 15209 2363 667 0
c2 8437 8813 8534 5379 0
c3 8313 4600 11499 14177 0
c4 10576 1060 4262 10517 0

Date: 2024-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233547 1901 1 0 0
c1 16165 13622 1326 459 0
c2 14947 8975 6991 4089 0
c3 21851 4857 12400 10511 0
c4 17752 1192 5423 15756 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233800 2013 1 0 0
c1 15891 13562 1357 478 0
c2 14859 9082 7006 4135 0
c3 22125 4727 12378 10341 0
c4 17587 1163 5399 15861 0

Date: 2024-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234029 1753 2 13 0
c1 13904 16344 1270 456 0
c2 11943 9072 9061 2993 0
c3 21150 3624 12308 11787 0
c4 38221 667 2779 9967 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232144 1993 3 12 0
c1 15287 14113 1516 558 0
c2 14577 8915 7196 3215 0
c3 24958 4993 11129 8517 0
c4 32281 1446 5576 12914 0

Date: 2024-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234793 1501 10 12 0
c1 12702 15402 1483 533 0
c2 8136 11085 9946 2894 0
c3 20756 4952 11647 10319 0
c4 25291 842 3856 10922 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 232446 1905 12 13 0
c1 14758 13015 1419 577 0
c2 10067 10811 9480 2848 0
c3 20332 5934 10525 8882 0
c4 24075 2117 5506 12360 0

Date: 2024-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 234642 1379 10 0 0
c1 15762 12306 1200 193 0
c2 8730 11140 9083 3455 0
c3 21653 5460 10944 12695 0
c4 42594 1449 6436 12681 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 233190 2087 28 9 0
c1 16540 10206 1346 326 0
c2 10968 10138 7858 3920 0
c3 25027 6125 9954 10055 0
c4 37656 3178 8487 14714 0


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