Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243323 2501 0 0 0
c1 14806 17772 1743 353 0
c2 10420 11756 14079 7067 0
c3 6889 5467 8530 11420 0
c4 5750 1144 2559 7673 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 242845 2427 4 0 0
c1 15770 17037 1623 222 0
c2 16756 10409 11658 5296 0
c3 16436 2961 7077 9554 0
c4 29574 1001 2586 6439 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243250 4272 6 5 0
c1 13600 20285 942 228 0
c2 15093 16646 11388 5372 0
c3 10841 4160 6638 11655 0
c4 27522 730 1913 9432 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243746 2546 5 3 0
c1 14689 19670 1189 203 0
c2 10833 15532 13824 5255 0
c3 5799 4057 7745 11709 0
c4 3393 677 2419 10981 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243655 2622 6 3 0
c1 14888 19611 1215 208 0
c2 10730 15452 13841 5303 0
c3 5811 4123 7703 11629 0
c4 3376 674 2417 11008 0

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240897 3044 12 0 0
c1 19086 16655 971 222 0
c2 14340 15780 10233 5375 0
c3 13032 4321 7872 11852 0
c4 9814 551 3038 7375 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240977 3154 14 0 0
c1 19073 16502 968 237 0
c2 14322 15788 10201 5433 0
c3 13028 4344 7918 11770 0
c4 9769 563 3025 7384 0

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 241420 2814 10 0 0
c1 16629 20078 1306 334 0
c2 14718 13174 10316 6351 0
c3 14522 3524 6863 10462 0
c4 26921 537 2966 7485 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 239676 3062 17 2 0
c1 18124 16575 935 377 0
c2 15454 14818 10075 6329 0
c3 13492 4700 6883 10870 0
c4 27464 972 3551 7054 0

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 241244 2540 1 0 0
c1 16860 17324 1745 339 0
c2 17528 10267 10756 4957 0
c3 16187 3256 6261 10331 0
c4 34395 891 3168 7992 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 239987 3030 4 3 0
c1 17750 14546 1170 506 0
c2 18437 11307 10326 5112 0
c3 15026 4170 7104 11208 0
c4 35014 1225 3327 6790 0

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 241427 2225 0 0 0
c1 16083 16185 1377 309 0
c2 18140 9549 10873 5152 0
c3 16579 2070 5872 9893 0
c4 32121 1347 2853 7887 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 239782 3738 4 3 0
c1 16751 12820 1120 503 0
c2 19394 10629 10236 4929 0
c3 15054 2979 6432 10917 0
c4 33369 1210 3183 6889 0


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