Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244648 2894 4 3 0
c1 14534 19251 4312 822 0
c2 15269 6499 10373 6931 0
c3 15681 2551 4872 9179 0
c4 6832 2137 3835 6099 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244037 2236 2 0 0
c1 16073 16603 4313 1091 0
c2 11843 6767 10649 7831 0
c3 23125 2450 4978 9126 0
c4 31864 2099 2127 9731 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244878 2854 7 11 0
c1 12682 19117 2967 505 0
c2 15881 7152 11257 7545 0
c3 18067 2705 5016 9810 0
c4 30448 835 1705 8833 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244467 1880 3 1 0
c1 13591 17944 2597 609 0
c2 13663 8759 12088 7125 0
c3 6295 5613 7573 12366 0
c4 2459 1550 3123 6048 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 244325 1924 4 1 0
c1 13770 17834 2578 619 0
c2 13720 8833 12131 7199 0
c3 6194 5587 7519 12283 0
c4 2466 1568 3152 6047 0

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 242556 3108 4 4 0
c1 13977 18665 1420 451 0
c2 11531 13748 12251 5943 0
c3 10487 5974 7473 11334 0
c4 15780 1442 3475 10952 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 242477 3142 6 6 0
c1 14154 18596 1407 443 0
c2 11546 13818 12220 6005 0
c3 10282 5947 7544 11257 0
c4 15872 1434 3446 10973 0

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 245438 2566 9 1 0
c1 15624 17654 1802 164 0
c2 17445 12155 13208 5423 0
c3 10974 3803 8925 11376 0
c4 4920 623 2216 8246 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 242342 2601 14 1 0
c1 17261 15233 1678 284 0
c2 15016 12756 11906 5094 0
c3 14056 4489 9427 10952 0
c4 5726 1722 3135 8879 0

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243131 3849 8 0 0
c1 15514 18545 1185 210 0
c2 10150 14315 13952 6491 0
c3 9488 3432 7624 10211 0
c4 25457 949 2276 10199 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240195 3571 19 0 0
c1 17447 16521 1016 218 0
c2 9756 13993 12329 5684 0
c3 9298 5272 8788 10586 0
c4 27044 1733 2893 10623 0

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 243064 1962 10 5 0
c1 15412 19477 1258 253 0
c2 9844 16482 13675 4713 0
c3 3952 4885 8176 12789 0
c4 1605 661 2952 7199 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 240362 2213 5 5 0
c1 17421 16953 981 189 0
c2 9238 15989 11588 4371 0
c3 5211 6614 9595 12407 0
c4 1645 1698 3902 7987 0


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