Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-11-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 342803 10494 20 4 0
c1 11255 34763 14009 2196 0
c2 568 5793 21764 14265 0
c3 370 1179 2088 3110 0
c4 2848 141 848 1632 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 338609 9515 0 2 0
c1 18427 29425 9031 1046 0
c2 7754 5671 21563 12460 0
c3 7443 953 2039 2422 0
c4 2220 170 872 1923 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 336500 9223 2 2 0
c1 8391 33193 6915 1395 0
c2 1943 5302 26134 17653 0
c3 376 734 2796 5694 0
c4 1601 188 719 1804 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 329211 11752 8 2 0
c1 5883 34518 5924 2255 0
c2 1001 5920 23308 19232 0
c3 1679 812 2681 4542 0
c4 2133 167 755 1797 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 329280 11738 8 4 0
c1 5762 34337 5908 2183 0
c2 1053 6136 23354 19297 0
c3 1654 775 2674 4623 0
c4 2158 183 732 1721 0

Date: 2023-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 326364 10025 15 7 0
c1 4512 34815 6083 1777 0
c2 6337 6107 14708 18825 0
c3 9929 1000 2079 4008 0
c4 3841 262 793 2112 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 326413 10227 10 10 0
c1 4413 34526 6262 1772 0
c2 6395 6185 14576 18841 0
c3 9933 997 2035 4055 0
c4 3829 274 795 2051 0

Date: 2023-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 325742 7232 2 2 0
c1 7583 36511 4058 516 0
c2 5130 6062 11215 13201 0
c3 453 1201 2388 6948 0
c4 618 262 1324 2410 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 324996 7734 2 3 0
c1 8525 33586 4625 1592 0
c2 4858 7858 10336 15503 0
c3 544 1623 2463 3696 0
c4 603 467 1561 2283 0

Date: 2023-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 324104 7649 37 4 0
c1 11258 30244 4487 872 0
c2 5573 5765 13092 8117 0
c3 3190 1611 2676 8688 0
c4 2492 855 1886 2801 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 323004 7800 28 3 0
c1 12451 28255 5121 1073 0
c2 5247 6827 12567 12132 0
c3 4245 2001 2494 4687 0
c4 1670 1241 1968 2587 0

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 322907 7408 20 6 0
c1 12778 27542 4318 807 0
c2 6630 5451 11825 8303 0
c3 3012 1944 3529 11235 0
c4 3966 727 1567 2275 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l
open 320953 7425 20 7 0
c1 14310 26233 4919 1122 0
c2 6674 6329 12030 12248 0
c3 3469 1852 2775 7053 0
c4 3887 1233 1515 2196 0


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