Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2017-02-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 198 65 89 2 0 0 0
OW 0 0 9 59 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 90 140 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 42 332 80 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 343 236 55 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 148 1405 6300 22433
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 93 218 47 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 44 79 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 49 142 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 45 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 244 217 53 13
VCDI 0 0 0 9 471 1585 7630 20990
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 296 213 76 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 38 84 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 13 128 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 76 236 17 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 367 282 23 55
VCDI 0 0 0 5 271 2213 9461 18169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 247 136 81 0 0 0 0
OW 0 4 52 88 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 136 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 89 120 8 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 332 244 127 32
VCDI 0 0 0 2 354 2588 9224 18136
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 246 146 89 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 44 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 16 129 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 84 150 11 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 293 251 131 41
VCDI 0 0 0 7 363 2578 9219 18127

Date: 2017-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 214 123 76 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 41 106 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 23 129 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 84 84 10 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 203 286 95 53
VCDI 0 0 0 40 361 2420 8652 18996
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 214 122 77 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 41 102 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 26 126 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 84 92 11 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 206 285 106 48
VCDI 0 0 0 43 349 2420 8639 19001

Date: 2017-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 267 170 115 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 24 138 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 170 29 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 267 35 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 367 334 104 13
VCDI 0 0 0 28 376 3713 10645 15184
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 256 111 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 12 51 105 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 29 152 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 108 72 34 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 356 209 111 10
VCDI 0 0 0 62 607 3839 10637 15187

Date: 2017-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 166 67 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 55 90 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 121 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 83 75 13 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 312 211 114 28
VCDI 0 0 0 5 450 3400 10050 16577
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 129 43 4 0 0 0
OW 0 0 84 58 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 17 140 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 103 74 22 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 237 146 111 36
VCDI 0 0 0 8 541 3456 10045 16569

Date: 2017-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 222 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 23 48 1 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 24 124 6 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 106 38 29 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 144 116 158 29
VCDI 0 0 0 34 560 2260 10032 17883
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 190 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 26 28 3 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 37 102 3 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 101 27 26 4 0
CDI 0 0 5 92 73 90 125 13
VCDI 0 0 0 96 643 2290 10062 17899


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