Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2025-10-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27869 4180 174 249 15 0 0 0
OW 9 400 150 501 160 3 0 0
VODI 1 17 36 392 421 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 141 418 200 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 300 706 294 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 2050 11960 10472
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27694 4268 169 312 30 0 0 0
OW 27 418 152 379 195 13 0 0
VODI 1 27 49 379 390 83 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 122 448 142 5 0
CDI 0 2 1 21 298 571 97 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 60 2673 10853 11343
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27470 4175 326 338 36 0 0 0
OW 2 204 165 420 87 7 0 0
VODI 1 2 9 371 254 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 354 146 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 555 783 291 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 2805 9256 12901
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27179 3846 267 469 23 0 0 0
OW 1 209 70 426 153 11 0 0
VODI 2 53 55 290 262 86 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 133 265 201 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 84 340 748 266 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 127 2484 10149 13014
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27179 3831 270 477 36 3 0 0
OW 1 218 70 396 156 17 0 0
VODI 2 58 48 306 248 110 2 0
ODI 0 1 8 115 266 230 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 103 296 772 333 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 168 2398 10077 13014

Date: 2025-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26392 4045 245 468 55 1 0 0
OW 0 117 107 391 147 18 0 0
VODI 3 30 39 341 432 50 5 0
ODI 0 1 0 156 275 181 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 468 780 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 259 4440 12650 8936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26392 4024 236 482 74 12 0 0
OW 0 138 117 367 138 24 3 0
VODI 3 30 38 343 363 53 3 0
ODI 0 1 0 147 334 202 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 468 816 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 259 4363 12617 8936

Date: 2025-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26749 3141 273 560 28 0 0 0
OW 9 109 76 528 124 0 0 0
VODI 3 5 6 287 548 44 2 0
ODI 0 1 1 15 489 866 90 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 106 838 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 2393 13480 10277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26732 3044 240 619 106 14 0 0
OW 26 153 79 318 172 26 2 0
VODI 3 48 30 308 358 72 19 0
ODI 0 9 4 110 317 248 5 0
CDI 0 2 3 36 233 772 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 147 3009 13613 10277

Date: 2025-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26141 3303 216 631 117 0 0 0
OW 0 91 68 492 209 3 0 0
VODI 3 8 7 332 492 55 5 0
ODI 0 1 1 37 470 262 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 239 981 334 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1715 11218 13719
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26118 3152 194 643 201 7 0 0
OW 23 218 53 329 237 42 2 0
VODI 3 28 41 312 348 111 42 0
ODI 0 4 3 176 355 185 30 0
CDI 0 1 1 40 322 741 145 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 96 1930 11375 13719

Date: 2025-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25527 3709 284 424 79 0 0 0
OW 0 155 137 626 117 0 0 0
VODI 3 5 19 420 342 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 137 529 97 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 512 629 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 1383 8245 17693
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25526 3549 241 490 54 0 0 0
OW 1 270 138 453 212 0 0 0
VODI 3 50 55 434 384 72 6 0
ODI 0 0 6 144 387 159 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 405 518 117 11
VCDI 0 0 0 12 204 1361 8170 17682


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V3/SIconcentrationValidation5/SICmultiWebPage5sector.sh Fri Nov 7 02:30:50 UTC 2025 on arcval2

 
See Met Privacy