Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-05-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70729 14767 143 163 17 0 0 19
OW 29 3995 657 912 151 10 6 41
VODI 0 651 618 3753 1292 84 70 75
ODI 0 106 81 1513 3407 585 238 71
CDI 0 32 22 613 3948 7093 2800 193
VCDI 0 114 15 148 923 6178 37699 30782
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71285 14182 143 180 12 1 0 18
OW 46 4206 518 1191 110 16 0 35
VODI 0 875 594 3599 1256 98 22 80
ODI 0 127 97 1449 3506 607 276 125
CDI 0 4 27 799 4247 6965 2621 995
VCDI 0 0 0 47 773 5896 33247 34468
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71505 16084 195 242 17 1 1 13
OW 7 3318 1024 1355 134 10 0 15
VODI 0 205 311 4434 1324 66 3 49
ODI 0 16 16 839 4745 632 73 65
CDI 0 0 0 278 2991 8923 1691 189
VCDI 0 0 0 26 354 6558 32322 34712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72470 15323 195 320 12 8 0 2
OW 134 3072 913 1632 130 26 2 15
VODI 0 351 367 4192 1359 112 27 58
ODI 0 33 49 1025 4543 603 130 80
CDI 0 0 2 414 3542 9338 2793 617
VCDI 0 0 0 18 335 6083 29352 35066
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72419 15366 197 358 22 12 1 7
OW 185 3038 897 1508 127 24 0 19
VODI 0 347 380 4261 1419 104 27 52
ODI 0 28 50 1013 4498 661 149 80
CDI 0 0 2 443 3500 9342 2777 544
VCDI 0 0 0 18 355 6027 29350 35136

Date: 2025-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73608 14550 169 201 25 5 0 0
OW 12 3519 905 1490 156 28 7 2
VODI 0 600 587 3784 1473 183 71 7
ODI 0 32 82 1141 4558 731 193 3
CDI 0 0 3 486 3839 9603 2777 158
VCDI 0 0 0 52 472 7193 26741 35297
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73547 14557 174 247 37 6 2 0
OW 73 3504 924 1392 149 24 16 4
VODI 0 603 566 3835 1531 182 85 4
ODI 0 37 77 1097 4475 766 195 3
CDI 0 0 5 531 3863 9774 2920 114
VCDI 0 0 0 52 468 6991 26571 35342

Date: 2025-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75752 13503 190 258 69 6 2 2
OW 59 3339 781 1434 234 31 13 14
VODI 0 683 459 3324 1539 183 45 72
ODI 0 89 68 1117 4023 1115 232 61
CDI 0 21 14 577 3659 9502 4768 252
VCDI 0 15 0 42 740 7451 31664 27341
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75751 13007 147 202 51 3 1 0
OW 60 3673 745 1294 187 37 13 3
VODI 0 822 524 3494 1669 241 54 64
ODI 0 111 85 1163 4059 1120 309 86
CDI 0 24 11 559 3605 9253 5326 238
VCDI 0 13 0 40 693 7634 31021 27351

Date: 2025-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75950 15103 223 207 9 5 1 0
OW 1 2878 1040 1484 157 24 0 0
VODI 0 297 447 3932 1306 95 15 0
ODI 0 11 23 919 4755 542 55 0
CDI 0 0 0 299 4165 10540 3069 30
VCDI 0 0 0 103 2407 5539 29803 29309
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75949 13279 146 202 15 4 1 0
OW 2 3736 783 1620 257 23 1 0
VODI 0 1020 599 3032 1813 229 47 0
ODI 0 178 176 1263 3788 1140 377 0
CDI 0 76 29 694 4082 9260 6501 584
VCDI 0 0 0 133 2844 6089 26016 28755

Date: 2025-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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