Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-01-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71475 16534 418 395 15 9 0 0
OW 157 1212 295 898 164 31 0 0
VODI 16 395 145 880 652 171 2 0
ODI 3 89 63 380 761 511 46 0
CDI 3 25 47 350 991 1764 1131 55
VCDI 7 0 11 105 611 3873 24874 65179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72650 14944 396 358 20 0 0 0
OW 293 1053 248 812 206 2 0 0
VODI 23 470 125 769 801 104 0 0
ODI 2 129 91 405 818 448 22 3
CDI 3 23 64 408 1021 1656 770 21
VCDI 7 1 0 95 984 5452 26119 62927
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71680 15952 439 484 8 0 0 0
OW 92 728 225 851 144 0 0 0
VODI 13 193 76 796 796 38 0 0
ODI 0 56 39 343 1118 358 3 0
CDI 0 4 12 170 917 2600 813 9
VCDI 10 0 0 11 339 5001 28914 61511
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71196 16029 364 343 42 0 0 0
OW 96 904 320 704 141 2 0 0
VODI 17 337 129 814 493 33 0 0
ODI 1 138 59 317 913 383 8 0
CDI 0 42 25 276 944 2416 794 23
VCDI 0 8 6 66 503 5460 27841 62556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71205 16104 376 363 39 0 0 0
OW 88 834 318 720 150 3 0 0
VODI 16 344 126 795 517 55 0 0
ODI 1 134 51 309 870 409 7 0
CDI 0 37 27 258 956 2403 866 30
VCDI 0 5 5 75 504 5424 27770 62549

Date: 2025-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69795 16911 403 300 50 1 0 0
OW 28 1153 310 708 139 30 0 0
VODI 4 480 185 828 565 81 0 0
ODI 2 118 58 414 782 461 14 1
CDI 0 31 20 284 783 2013 1262 23
VCDI 0 10 8 99 602 4879 30074 60834
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69796 16933 424 349 45 1 0 0
OW 26 1133 297 689 174 33 0 0
VODI 5 486 180 806 571 116 0 0
ODI 2 113 53 425 744 468 21 0
CDI 0 30 23 263 807 2001 1311 27
VCDI 0 8 7 101 580 4846 30018 60831

Date: 2025-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68151 18184 450 436 59 28 0 0
OW 0 1158 240 695 211 51 0 0
VODI 0 560 174 798 483 148 1 0
ODI 0 122 66 434 577 383 19 0
CDI 0 47 43 334 926 1622 782 11
VCDI 0 7 0 126 753 6563 31428 58673
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68151 17859 395 376 72 24 0 0
OW 0 1388 260 674 167 57 0 0
VODI 0 627 192 875 511 171 0 0
ODI 0 147 83 449 639 434 22 0
CDI 0 49 42 312 874 1576 658 13
VCDI 0 8 1 137 746 6533 31550 58671

Date: 2025-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69768 16807 425 299 42 11 0 0
OW 22 1387 365 704 159 23 0 0
VODI 0 480 259 1037 417 81 0 0
ODI 0 52 44 462 656 243 27 1
CDI 0 17 7 195 880 1279 555 26
VCDI 0 8 12 86 580 5560 29302 62465
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69767 15954 324 282 86 13 0 0
OW 17 1447 284 573 167 42 0 0
VODI 6 957 255 786 456 177 1 0
ODI 0 274 148 485 499 445 67 1
CDI 0 92 74 450 764 958 669 23
VCDI 0 27 27 207 762 5562 29147 62468

Date: 2025-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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