Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7337 3464 86 116 47 12 0 0
OW 5 466 128 318 139 115 1 0
VODI 3 47 26 420 577 334 124 0
ODI 0 1 1 75 518 434 183 1
CDI 0 0 0 46 271 711 435 37
VCDI 0 0 0 2 60 1764 9649 33278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7499 3115 69 87 4 0 0 0
OW 1 387 112 277 131 42 0 0
VODI 0 75 37 353 513 257 60 0
ODI 0 8 3 71 555 466 302 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 443 691 477 79
VCDI 0 0 0 0 127 1822 10016 33119
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7226 3037 139 81 0 0 0 0
OW 0 321 140 365 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 22 32 457 338 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 436 419 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 361 1537 352 34
VCDI 0 0 0 34 155 2575 11439 31638
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7186 2968 70 76 0 0 0 0
OW 0 309 120 324 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 39 408 312 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 326 307 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 252 840 687 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 173 1906 12053 32622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7186 3069 124 162 1 0 0 0
OW 0 219 88 393 149 2 0 0
VODI 0 7 17 267 283 159 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 307 338 149 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 236 923 787 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 125 1711 11848 32607

Date: 2025-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7551 2536 73 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 217 81 350 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 28 356 402 42 0 0
ODI 0 10 9 86 430 268 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 338 765 326 3
VCDI 0 0 0 7 325 3086 12140 31638
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7550 2668 115 155 0 0 0 0
OW 1 111 55 395 148 6 0 0
VODI 0 31 18 242 391 130 4 0
ODI 0 3 3 66 381 337 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 300 815 445 4
VCDI 0 0 0 1 305 2873 11979 31637

Date: 2025-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7871 2178 37 77 0 0 0 0
OW 3 127 94 187 18 0 0 0
VODI 3 36 25 462 272 2 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 85 582 143 6 0
CDI 0 3 0 4 298 1237 192 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 302 3536 14371 29069
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7871 2229 111 267 17 0 0 0
OW 4 60 20 219 201 26 0 0
VODI 2 55 24 180 297 225 9 0
ODI 0 5 2 101 329 322 146 0
CDI 0 2 0 44 278 754 613 6
VCDI 0 0 0 4 350 3591 13801 29066

Date: 2025-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7729 2253 34 41 0 0 0 0
OW 3 156 31 161 29 0 0 0
VODI 3 19 10 101 184 39 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 13 301 177 5 1
CDI 0 0 0 4 347 725 295 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 333 3456 15148 29603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7723 2271 64 157 47 3 0 0
OW 12 81 9 124 143 69 2 0
VODI 0 73 2 22 130 190 55 0
ODI 0 5 0 15 110 219 175 3
CDI 0 0 0 2 352 421 427 74
VCDI 0 0 0 0 412 3495 14789 29555

Date: 2025-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8005 2137 39 55 6 0 0 0
OW 3 152 64 138 25 0 0 0
VODI 1 9 23 114 151 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 180 177 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 132 750 197 45
VCDI 0 0 0 0 268 3381 14199 30920
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7991 2107 103 209 87 7 0 0
OW 18 100 14 67 88 26 1 0
VODI 0 80 4 43 91 104 39 0
ODI 0 11 5 18 70 134 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 96 384 283 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 330 3676 13981 30950


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