Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 757 34 7 0 0 0 0
OW 7 206 43 44 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 22 89 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 6 79 37 17 0 0
CDI 0 58 12 69 172 100 3 7
VCDI 0 96 53 242 526 1522 6839 21718
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 176 614 17 64 0 0 0 0
OW 7 137 35 54 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 29 78 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 13 47 81 8 0 0
CDI 0 52 6 41 110 153 16 13
VCDI 0 60 37 147 276 910 6982 22758
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88 643 21 36 0 0 0 0
OW 2 102 60 58 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 16 132 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 10 72 77 1 0 0
CDI 0 6 11 68 117 145 5 13
VCDI 0 0 0 21 195 838 4186 26089
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 539 50 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 16 125 34 2 0 0
VODI 0 30 9 81 57 8 0 0
ODI 0 9 10 28 80 36 0 0
CDI 0 10 9 65 101 170 20 4
VCDI 0 1 4 33 65 463 5693 25208
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56 565 57 73 8 0 0 0
OW 0 38 14 108 43 10 0 0
VODI 0 23 13 66 81 28 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 27 83 51 3 0
CDI 0 9 4 55 72 205 116 6
VCDI 0 1 4 24 50 385 5594 25206

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76 471 18 19 0 0 0 0
OW 5 124 32 48 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 14 88 39 17 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 66 33 41 0 0
CDI 0 17 11 60 103 132 1 0
VCDI 0 7 7 48 153 563 4146 26647
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 523 30 49 10 0 0 0
OW 4 87 28 68 49 11 0 0
VODI 0 38 8 87 52 42 0 0
ODI 0 17 8 53 49 55 0 0
CDI 0 14 6 43 100 184 87 5
VCDI 0 4 6 29 110 461 4060 26642

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121 488 23 4 0 0 0 0
OW 4 198 48 27 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 31 174 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 17 5 95 50 1 0 0
CDI 0 31 27 71 143 114 32 8
VCDI 0 0 5 71 205 616 7699 22725
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120 518 52 20 1 0 0 0
OW 5 122 30 104 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 19 123 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 7 70 77 8 0 0
CDI 0 30 14 50 133 123 89 23
VCDI 0 22 17 75 159 600 7642 22710

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 42 485 11 3 0 0 0 0
OW 1 218 20 27 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 15 99 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 71 60 5 0 0
CDI 0 16 17 103 158 124 74 1
VCDI 0 2 6 43 174 579 7240 23354
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 530 23 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 200 11 54 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 21 121 45 8 0 0
ODI 0 31 2 61 71 45 1 0
CDI 0 17 12 43 119 130 118 13
VCDI 0 1 7 52 163 525 7195 23342

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 46 429 11 4 0 0 0 0
OW 6 202 32 20 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 16 87 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 14 78 35 0 0 0
CDI 0 22 23 111 153 116 4 15
VCDI 0 0 11 77 193 594 4744 25897
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 397 20 25 0 0 0 0
OW 5 137 9 27 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 28 100 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 9 80 42 2 1 11
CDI 0 54 14 60 182 135 51 69
VCDI 0 48 27 85 160 573 4696 25832


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