Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114454 12272 488 616 71 0 0 0
OW 9 1027 360 1072 264 5 0 0
VODI 3 186 186 1012 813 113 3 0
ODI 0 17 29 392 1017 467 25 0
CDI 0 6 8 216 1469 2291 428 0
VCDI 0 1 0 17 503 10454 25600 18849
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113029 12244 430 468 47 0 0 0
OW 35 1115 412 1213 346 14 0 0
VODI 3 237 242 1065 796 168 0 0
ODI 0 7 30 486 941 572 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 250 1364 2161 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 555 9863 23206 23165
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111899 11146 542 798 64 0 0 0
OW 23 714 444 1347 158 0 0 0
VODI 12 9 45 1585 1034 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 263 1770 331 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 1366 2823 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 430 10641 20798 26264
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110522 11205 348 721 142 4 0 0
OW 26 717 370 1132 520 40 0 0
VODI 7 153 109 1090 1190 308 0 0
ODI 6 11 9 349 1146 533 5 0
CDI 0 5 0 90 1175 2456 88 0
VCDI 0 2 2 82 787 9691 21510 28192
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 110521 11292 392 851 159 0 0 0
OW 27 673 369 1124 579 43 0 0
VODI 12 118 70 995 1190 332 0 0
ODI 1 4 5 328 1135 559 6 0
CDI 0 4 0 82 1091 2393 103 0
VCDI 0 2 2 84 806 9705 21494 28192

Date: 2024-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108762 11149 555 890 51 0 0 0
OW 11 816 289 957 503 28 0 0
VODI 3 146 148 861 969 499 7 0
ODI 0 30 20 405 893 909 29 0
CDI 0 26 6 156 969 2306 214 0
VCDI 0 3 7 56 147 6174 21768 33981
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 108753 11202 590 1035 115 0 0 0
OW 20 787 260 861 477 33 0 0
VODI 3 127 148 864 1016 528 6 0
ODI 0 25 13 366 846 896 26 0
CDI 0 18 8 135 918 2258 276 0
VCDI 0 11 6 64 160 6201 21710 33981

Date: 2024-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107005 11311 463 802 86 0 0 0
OW 61 766 394 871 177 0 0 0
VODI 10 28 57 1132 778 20 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 224 1821 235 8 0
CDI 0 4 1 50 1085 3480 110 2
VCDI 0 0 0 9 131 4483 22219 36907
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106989 10931 475 1045 178 2 0 0
OW 73 905 245 860 509 22 0 0
VODI 14 198 148 688 1113 303 2 0
ODI 0 40 28 287 878 942 65 0
CDI 0 25 17 160 1084 1946 274 10
VCDI 0 19 6 48 316 5003 21996 36899

Date: 2024-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106203 11101 439 658 236 0 0 0
OW 72 817 381 986 210 5 0 0
VODI 5 124 125 1072 584 56 0 0
ODI 0 21 16 411 932 236 14 0
CDI 0 7 1 119 1090 2030 367 2
VCDI 0 4 1 15 458 6857 19884 39204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106136 10229 381 628 270 0 0 0
OW 122 1314 321 963 333 29 0 0
VODI 21 337 179 958 869 217 6 0
ODI 1 121 43 423 685 807 61 0
CDI 0 34 33 258 969 2190 538 1
VCDI 0 39 6 31 384 5941 19660 39205

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106056 10091 408 585 79 0 0 0
OW 115 1137 340 1080 335 0 0 0
VODI 18 291 223 951 646 22 0 0
ODI 1 49 50 461 887 136 12 3
CDI 0 39 18 240 1069 1075 136 11
VCDI 0 19 16 96 525 6012 19895 41616
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105899 9337 365 600 153 0 0 0
OW 218 1174 332 1113 423 2 0 0
VODI 70 589 152 887 1079 145 17 0
ODI 3 266 58 277 699 555 72 0
CDI 0 225 126 371 618 1450 551 55
VCDI 0 35 22 165 569 5093 19403 41575


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