Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63105 12125 72 41 0 0 0 0
OW 6 1715 425 383 54 1 0 0
VODI 0 241 269 1452 360 56 3 0
ODI 0 25 40 571 1025 155 16 0
CDI 0 10 12 336 1784 3432 726 40
VCDI 0 0 0 31 263 1471 5761 4410
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62985 12250 98 79 0 0 0 0
OW 64 1660 362 445 64 2 0 0
VODI 2 285 286 1277 341 70 0 0
ODI 1 50 76 506 982 137 30 0
CDI 4 2 15 423 2135 3967 703 40
VCDI 0 0 0 59 242 1190 4573 5011
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63418 12729 94 19 0 0 0 0
OW 16 1356 610 490 6 0 0 0
VODI 3 31 123 1630 351 14 2 0
ODI 2 0 5 351 1454 108 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 125 1641 4657 375 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 148 1022 5126 4494
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63637 12572 108 43 0 0 0 0
OW 20 1352 503 532 20 4 0 0
VODI 2 88 157 1341 364 45 0 0
ODI 2 6 6 540 1191 136 5 0
CDI 0 0 1 175 1933 4353 717 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 296 1534 3237 5464
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63641 12648 144 75 0 0 0 0
OW 15 1255 451 506 22 4 0 0
VODI 2 109 169 1246 344 40 0 0
ODI 2 6 10 558 1127 145 6 0
CDI 1 0 1 251 2064 4454 788 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 247 1429 3165 5464

Date: 2024-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63491 12617 128 90 9 0 0 0
OW 9 1348 378 628 51 5 0 0
VODI 2 136 162 1205 474 25 0 0
ODI 1 13 28 597 1188 173 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 291 2023 4654 401 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 294 1593 3108 5256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63485 12743 163 118 9 0 0 0
OW 14 1207 336 571 65 7 0 0
VODI 2 144 164 1144 466 24 0 0
ODI 2 19 26 606 1091 128 2 0
CDI 0 1 10 369 2143 4675 460 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 265 1616 3048 5256

Date: 2024-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63781 12957 106 90 5 0 0 0
OW 0 1006 531 412 36 2 0 0
VODI 0 39 88 1919 445 18 0 0
ODI 0 9 6 440 1690 122 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 95 1753 5179 283 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 161 971 3680 4586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63773 12329 114 98 5 0 0 0
OW 4 1387 323 379 64 6 0 0
VODI 3 213 223 1240 439 43 0 0
ODI 1 60 44 744 1059 149 5 0
CDI 0 23 29 486 2210 4234 843 14
VCDI 0 0 0 12 313 1860 3115 4572

Date: 2024-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63774 12665 127 105 2 0 0 0
OW 1 1273 382 446 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 225 1769 458 31 0 0
ODI 0 26 18 499 1757 238 4 0
CDI 0 4 5 197 1867 4532 692 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 230 1031 3656 4158
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63770 12268 166 106 2 0 0 0
OW 3 1320 251 528 73 3 0 0
VODI 1 331 198 1199 460 48 2 0
ODI 1 119 76 624 1225 204 21 0
CDI 0 91 63 537 2231 4053 945 31
VCDI 0 3 3 24 401 1524 3384 4127

Date: 2024-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64197 12033 113 95 1 0 0 0
OW 1 1469 378 462 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 276 257 1777 451 43 0 0
ODI 0 26 45 706 1776 345 2 0
CDI 0 1 2 323 1916 3934 707 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 267 1374 5077 2282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64194 11843 192 215 8 0 0 0
OW 2 1264 272 562 97 3 0 0
VODI 2 370 160 1200 397 45 1 0
ODI 0 209 83 652 1155 218 35 0
CDI 0 111 78 681 2329 3351 842 69
VCDI 0 8 10 53 505 2079 4908 2213


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