Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58621 14140 281 287 21 0 0 0
OW 33 1203 306 520 148 2 0 0
VODI 0 571 194 743 272 26 0 0
ODI 0 164 119 509 523 95 0 0
CDI 0 87 40 603 1296 1129 451 6
VCDI 0 101 59 258 755 3310 7835 5708
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57940 14328 275 240 8 0 0 0
OW 22 1083 371 520 117 2 0 0
VODI 0 446 232 989 253 24 0 0
ODI 0 120 95 657 595 76 6 0
CDI 0 21 33 451 1563 1614 266 1
VCDI 0 0 8 208 740 3869 9121 4122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57731 14702 314 324 26 0 0 0
OW 12 1088 377 626 143 6 0 0
VODI 0 215 167 1123 328 20 0 0
ODI 0 6 24 396 878 163 6 0
CDI 0 0 4 175 1637 2271 266 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 434 4377 7911 4646
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58262 14094 218 301 54 2 0 0
OW 52 1069 263 594 115 10 0 0
VODI 0 329 163 776 339 50 3 0
ODI 0 37 60 485 620 229 20 0
CDI 0 7 25 294 1354 2137 766 10
VCDI 0 0 0 127 855 3573 6729 6394
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58269 14178 215 290 57 1 0 0
OW 38 975 269 624 107 9 0 0
VODI 7 346 162 758 350 46 3 0
ODI 0 30 59 480 592 234 19 0
CDI 0 7 24 305 1362 2160 766 18
VCDI 0 0 0 120 869 3551 6730 6386

Date: 2024-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58733 13688 197 295 28 0 0 0
OW 29 1174 234 484 75 8 0 0
VODI 0 524 207 576 289 89 0 0
ODI 0 106 143 595 508 218 2 0
CDI 0 28 35 569 1249 1443 315 0
VCDI 0 12 8 213 1034 3268 7838 6202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58734 13770 207 296 27 0 0 0
OW 28 1112 242 491 77 5 0 0
VODI 0 509 198 572 303 97 0 0
ODI 0 100 138 574 500 220 1 0
CDI 0 27 30 592 1197 1262 265 0
VCDI 0 14 9 207 1079 3442 7889 6202

Date: 2024-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58272 14264 279 378 36 0 0 0
OW 17 1142 335 560 156 3 0 0
VODI 0 111 142 891 460 57 0 0
ODI 0 28 29 383 832 196 0 0
CDI 0 34 12 251 1241 2677 394 0
VCDI 0 7 7 88 449 2447 6910 7328
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58288 13800 280 399 45 0 0 0
OW 1 1043 193 494 150 25 0 0
VODI 0 477 142 515 404 97 0 0
ODI 0 171 104 449 530 317 1 0
CDI 0 50 69 506 1388 2080 862 10
VCDI 0 45 16 188 657 2861 6441 7318

Date: 2024-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58930 13566 209 300 25 0 0 0
OW 9 1104 289 591 150 20 0 0
VODI 0 227 208 681 384 70 0 0
ODI 0 60 25 535 633 278 2 0
CDI 0 62 33 295 1358 2002 706 6
VCDI 0 12 6 124 633 3032 6508 7343
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58913 12970 190 351 33 3 0 0
OW 26 1044 205 450 172 23 0 0
VODI 0 611 136 448 389 135 0 0
ODI 0 246 138 490 435 306 15 0
CDI 0 125 87 584 1331 1859 838 12
VCDI 0 35 14 203 823 3076 6363 7337

Date: 2024-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58525 14103 183 281 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1198 185 489 179 3 0 0
VODI 0 360 244 665 335 102 0 0
ODI 0 78 68 634 762 169 0 0
CDI 0 59 23 477 1536 1232 341 0
VCDI 0 19 13 131 866 3893 7879 5360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58525 13187 138 279 47 0 0 0
OW 0 1381 112 345 204 4 0 0
VODI 0 722 223 537 380 183 0 0
ODI 0 314 123 578 646 176 4 0
CDI 0 180 93 683 1391 1217 424 0
VCDI 0 33 27 255 1034 3819 7792 5360


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