Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-12-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 138 289 9 61 5 0 0 0
OW 11 31 23 179 96 0 0 0
VODI 2 0 6 135 244 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 261 190 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 115 424 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 479 6778 23451
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132 312 3 35 0 0 0 0
OW 15 49 11 222 49 0 0 0
VODI 5 15 18 151 213 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 15 106 239 110 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 263 371 15 1
VCDI 0 0 0 25 126 607 6121 23791
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 145 465 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 11 491 93 63 6 0 0 0
VODI 2 84 106 293 74 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 16 125 287 9 1 0
CDI 0 12 9 103 176 180 46 5
VCDI 0 7 12 123 269 1126 6160 22581
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 463 16 5 0 0 0 0
OW 1 333 45 115 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 64 281 130 64 0 0
ODI 0 40 16 96 160 137 0 0
CDI 0 30 11 108 142 293 92 2
VCDI 0 24 23 122 266 1054 6510 22110
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 458 15 2 0 0 0 0
OW 2 324 42 118 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 183 62 261 126 61 0 0
ODI 0 53 18 108 160 135 0 0
CDI 0 29 18 109 150 322 106 2
VCDI 0 24 20 129 267 1030 6496 22110

Date: 2023-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 147 394 14 8 0 0 0 0
OW 7 168 27 68 56 0 0 0
VODI 4 178 74 311 340 1 0 0
ODI 0 51 25 85 310 66 0 0
CDI 0 19 24 134 178 327 41 7
VCDI 0 41 22 106 380 1732 5867 21884
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 147 399 12 14 0 0 0 0
OW 7 153 26 66 35 0 0 0
VODI 4 164 59 254 311 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 38 119 362 68 0 0
CDI 0 21 29 151 177 350 58 6
VCDI 0 34 22 108 379 1708 5850 21885

Date: 2023-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 126 438 12 8 0 0 0 0
OW 13 178 123 66 3 0 0 0
VODI 11 20 67 468 96 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 80 446 93 0 0
CDI 0 10 9 57 234 524 16 0
VCDI 0 0 10 71 273 1942 6625 21067
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122 392 21 12 0 0 0 0
OW 15 100 40 48 27 0 0 0
VODI 12 106 53 171 251 95 0 0
ODI 1 28 65 280 207 221 13 0
CDI 0 12 23 137 237 260 133 0
VCDI 0 13 23 102 330 1984 6495 21067

Date: 2023-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87 470 17 15 0 0 0 0
OW 6 91 39 109 14 0 0 0
VODI 4 54 32 311 230 9 0 0
ODI 0 9 7 217 347 206 7 0
CDI 0 3 6 59 281 397 38 0
VCDI 0 0 4 102 358 1914 6728 20925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85 375 10 9 0 0 0 0
OW 7 94 11 47 22 0 0 0
VODI 5 108 36 148 88 75 19 0
ODI 0 32 21 217 403 226 28 0
CDI 0 9 6 244 262 300 79 0
VCDI 0 9 21 148 455 1925 6647 20925

Date: 2023-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 411 11 10 0 0 0 0
OW 2 81 38 55 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 31 206 234 6 0 0
ODI 0 17 17 223 424 181 33 0
CDI 0 1 1 95 196 670 137 3
VCDI 0 0 0 72 144 1248 6493 21955
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 343 7 6 0 0 0 0
OW 1 86 15 27 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 35 121 77 0 2 0
ODI 0 30 23 208 383 203 108 0
CDI 0 11 5 170 322 358 81 1
VCDI 0 4 13 129 233 1544 6472 21957


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