Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-11-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. multi-product sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1162 1486 48 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 129 95 153 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 34 214 130 25 0 0
ODI 0 11 4 96 83 77 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 22 183 271 63 1
VCDI 0 0 0 17 167 1406 12315 14772
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 898 1577 12 4 0 0 0 0
OW 2 104 88 136 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 31 239 149 3 0 0
ODI 0 13 6 106 128 90 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 30 150 240 38 26
VCDI 0 1 1 21 115 1480 12631 14682
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 295 2105 30 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 164 103 84 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 49 297 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 6 156 156 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 143 240 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 1416 11797 15849
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 155 2050 35 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 72 103 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 11 178 107 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 43 278 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 135 385 28 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1179 10330 17849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 155 2036 38 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 75 69 103 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 10 173 96 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 49 284 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 144 377 35 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 1171 10323 17848

Date: 2023-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 1706 54 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 137 92 100 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 13 179 53 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 25 168 20 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 10 147 296 12 6
VCDI 0 1 0 0 43 838 10530 18442
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 1726 64 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 112 78 101 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 17 172 42 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 27 155 16 0 1
CDI 0 3 0 10 166 305 29 5
VCDI 0 0 0 1 48 833 10513 18442

Date: 2023-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1259 123 175 1 0 0 0
OW 0 47 63 148 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 305 43 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 37 245 12 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 1 91 357 2 2
VCDI 0 9 0 0 13 445 6197 23338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1255 131 215 4 0 0 0
OW 0 52 50 177 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 6 220 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 43 143 20 0 0
CDI 0 7 0 10 138 342 19 2
VCDI 0 5 0 1 49 452 6180 23338

Date: 2023-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1278 46 121 15 0 0 0
OW 0 150 48 78 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 80 184 68 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 18 158 136 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 251 146 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 164 466 6206 23092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 150 1282 64 155 21 0 0 0
OW 0 121 55 89 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 47 178 45 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 20 116 77 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 6 57 302 110 21 2
VCDI 0 0 0 62 177 491 6230 23090

Date: 2023-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 1289 116 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 188 67 115 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 44 177 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 44 119 20 4 0 0
CDI 0 9 22 150 188 107 15 0
VCDI 0 2 17 140 271 631 5912 23033
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 151 1214 122 83 0 0 0 0
OW 0 169 45 109 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 182 37 157 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 48 125 37 0 0 0
CDI 0 36 26 125 195 122 28 7
VCDI 0 17 32 154 245 620 5899 23026


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