Validation of sea ice concentration

Bulletin date: 2025-01-23

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61970 23717 2866 405 67 11 2 0
OW 0 826 2073 724 240 121 36 0
VODI 0 364 1242 834 368 275 120 0
ODI 0 110 472 426 415 566 380 0
CDI 0 60 431 519 592 948 3754 23
VCDI 0 17 192 224 512 931 31603 20408
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60524 24091 2843 573 212 19 1 0
OW 0 629 1307 503 470 135 14 0
VODI 0 135 798 536 689 512 151 0
ODI 0 19 270 429 509 849 526 27
CDI 0 0 73 419 580 1267 4571 401
VCDI 0 0 53 150 238 653 21406 32250
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60530 23661 2698 458 183 31 0 0
OW 0 375 1656 528 269 133 5 0
VODI 0 131 879 675 586 496 141 0
ODI 0 32 305 365 686 920 777 1
CDI 0 0 164 248 595 1268 5933 43
VCDI 0 0 2 21 177 789 27264 25819
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60530 23705 2777 458 171 36 0 0
OW 0 365 1589 537 288 130 6 0
VODI 0 110 897 674 606 510 126 0
ODI 0 19 300 386 695 904 811 4
CDI 0 0 138 220 554 1264 6218 71
VCDI 0 0 3 20 182 793 26959 25788

Date: 2025-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60748 23940 2912 619 63 10 2 0
OW 0 346 1519 999 224 92 42 0
VODI 0 106 1073 1267 533 243 238 0
ODI 0 52 291 705 522 467 747 8
CDI 0 20 262 687 701 1352 3450 84
VCDI 0 0 137 746 621 1338 26543 25135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60748 23773 2613 504 58 4 2 0
OW 0 446 1634 982 189 65 21 0
VODI 0 141 1192 1355 563 272 252 0
ODI 0 69 357 775 549 494 802 5
CDI 0 35 264 657 704 1313 3348 53
VCDI 0 0 134 750 601 1354 26597 25169

Date: 2025-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61622 24223 2932 695 165 24 2 0
OW 0 630 1711 859 417 90 22 0
VODI 0 195 1035 1025 787 423 196 0
ODI 0 27 369 512 667 619 531 1
CDI 0 12 185 371 628 1472 2725 91
VCDI 0 20 142 415 395 875 27545 24189
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61622 23568 2287 502 136 23 0 0
OW 0 833 1337 660 226 68 3 0
VODI 0 460 1371 957 773 361 150 0
ODI 0 152 629 616 664 546 648 11
CDI 0 82 496 574 688 1237 2461 144
VCDI 0 12 254 568 572 1268 27759 24126

Date: 2025-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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