Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-09-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115122 11580 102 38 0 0 0 0
OW 2712 5998 969 738 35 0 0 0
VODI 1325 526 771 3775 1648 22 0 0
ODI 0 13 15 902 9242 1905 7 0
CDI 0 11 1 50 3951 14422 720 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 3103 1085 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114675 11182 83 46 0 0 0 0
OW 2705 6890 660 544 48 1 0 0
VODI 1184 906 947 3855 1286 53 0 0
ODI 0 20 39 1612 10148 1981 22 0
CDI 0 14 2 55 4663 12472 920 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 2317 1463 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115537 13838 59 9 0 0 0 0
OW 2701 4811 1221 727 25 0 0 0
VODI 1163 92 463 4258 1320 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 1040 12346 2270 2 0
CDI 0 8 1 31 1966 11747 694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 2370 2092 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116072 13379 61 15 3 0 0 0
OW 2739 4835 1032 705 35 0 0 0
VODI 1026 280 640 4402 1234 22 0 0
ODI 0 13 9 1289 11350 2692 7 0
CDI 0 10 2 13 1764 11259 1217 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 1924 2765 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116060 13416 70 13 1 0 0 0
OW 2776 4754 1043 830 35 0 0 0
VODI 1001 325 619 4332 1362 20 0 0
ODI 0 12 10 1229 11051 2922 8 0
CDI 0 10 2 20 1945 11189 1364 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1766 2617 0

Date: 2025-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115957 13231 74 40 4 0 0 0
OW 2732 4995 864 718 58 0 0 0
VODI 1040 496 830 4240 1403 72 0 0
ODI 0 22 12 1382 9945 3207 1 0
CDI 0 8 0 29 1714 11891 841 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 2938 2042 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115953 13376 90 51 2 0 0 0
OW 2766 4799 884 905 73 0 0 0
VODI 1010 550 792 4061 1537 79 0 0
ODI 0 20 13 1356 9672 3549 20 0
CDI 0 7 1 36 1846 11652 866 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2828 1998 0

Date: 2025-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116222 14761 114 32 0 0 0 0
OW 2710 3809 1415 798 23 0 0 0
VODI 1101 24 231 4684 1119 7 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 708 7560 676 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 23 3038 17166 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 8 1821 2429 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116191 12838 95 42 0 0 0 0
OW 2779 4922 869 871 99 0 0 0
VODI 1063 805 758 3851 1604 119 2 0
ODI 0 25 37 1408 7937 3954 10 0
CDI 0 10 3 70 2081 12222 691 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 27 3375 2048 0

Date: 2025-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115549 14518 114 85 1 0 0 0
OW 2643 4096 1150 950 53 0 0 0
VODI 1204 180 493 4351 1172 36 0 0
ODI 0 5 7 1044 5483 1081 3 0
CDI 0 2 3 37 3643 14661 912 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 29 3934 3370 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115517 12061 114 97 0 0 0 0
OW 2729 5721 825 945 105 3 0 0
VODI 1150 970 765 3740 1493 225 2 0
ODI 0 36 51 1629 6132 3714 11 0
CDI 0 13 12 55 2616 11689 782 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 35 4081 3490 0

Date: 2025-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115988 13103 63 17 0 0 0 0
OW 2615 4872 909 784 127 2 0 0
VODI 1305 359 573 4005 1581 93 0 0
ODI 0 9 10 915 4138 1585 9 0
CDI 0 1 1 42 2569 12679 1335 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 5644 5464 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115944 11354 73 19 0 0 0 0
OW 2690 5920 718 891 187 19 0 0
VODI 1274 997 710 3377 1720 396 8 0
ODI 0 57 45 1413 4511 3044 141 0
CDI 0 13 9 56 1978 11100 1450 0
VCDI 0 3 1 7 32 5444 5209 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V3/SIconcentrationValidation5/SICamsr2webPage5.sh Fri Sep 19 02:13:02 UTC 2025 on arcval2

 
See Met Privacy