Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 373 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 9 209 12 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 136 22 29 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 11 35 34 8 0 0
CDI 0 67 21 54 93 127 31 19
VCDI 0 27 25 56 100 405 4352 25696
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 40 280 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 8 145 9 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 20 53 29 3 0 0
ODI 0 40 12 36 55 28 3 0
CDI 0 45 13 36 69 140 77 1
VCDI 0 2 6 32 73 244 3613 26855
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 335 11 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 104 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 18 24 27 4 0 0
ODI 0 16 7 28 37 37 2 0
CDI 0 8 1 26 41 251 40 0
VCDI 0 1 3 9 40 412 5166 25388
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 349 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 5 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 3 8 15 1 0 0
ODI 0 27 9 8 65 20 0 0
CDI 0 24 11 29 58 198 106 5
VCDI 0 2 3 15 59 277 6984 23661
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 345 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 2 3 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 3 8 25 1 0 0
ODI 0 25 10 10 57 26 0 0
CDI 0 18 12 28 56 200 111 7
VCDI 0 1 1 14 58 269 6979 23659

Date: 2025-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 350 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 1 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 8 6 7 11 0 0
ODI 0 36 6 18 25 49 12 0
CDI 0 33 20 36 55 148 181 0
VCDI 0 0 2 22 78 471 13107 17277
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 339 9 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 75 1 2 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 11 8 10 10 0 0
ODI 0 37 4 16 20 62 15 0
CDI 0 27 19 37 56 138 202 2
VCDI 0 0 2 21 77 469 13083 17275

Date: 2025-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 320 9 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 5 2 0 1 0 0
VODI 0 44 6 10 8 8 5 0
ODI 0 29 6 14 33 39 17 0
CDI 0 54 19 29 64 126 126 0
VCDI 0 7 14 55 133 1043 12081 17694
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 291 9 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 83 4 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 6 14 4 7 2 0
ODI 0 39 7 14 35 50 20 0
CDI 0 54 16 22 73 132 134 0
VCDI 0 11 17 59 126 1028 12073 17694

Date: 2025-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 325 19 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 128 4 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 16 8 2 1 1 0
ODI 0 24 15 35 8 19 20 0
CDI 0 10 9 47 78 113 163 0
VCDI 0 0 4 21 63 574 11183 19118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 17 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 105 3 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 8 13 3 4 1 0
ODI 0 51 3 19 15 35 36 0
CDI 0 61 21 28 37 82 170 0
VCDI 0 11 15 54 96 586 11160 19118

Date: 2025-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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