Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67257 9981 57 53 1 0 0 0
OW 835 965 147 214 80 17 0 0
VODI 1967 433 155 281 241 54 13 0
ODI 1685 173 66 215 410 297 114 0
CDI 0 138 67 235 594 1499 986 0
VCDI 0 46 23 108 202 1447 8101 3705
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66377 10829 88 86 17 0 0 0
OW 813 1060 138 184 108 32 0 0
VODI 1944 375 159 308 223 70 14 0
ODI 1715 147 58 182 333 307 98 0
CDI 0 122 61 211 522 1260 1052 7
VCDI 0 70 32 143 309 1157 8181 4070
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64416 13167 184 177 13 0 0 0
OW 815 778 168 340 173 24 0 0
VODI 1923 131 124 322 296 78 0 0
ODI 1741 57 23 163 293 270 57 0
CDI 0 28 20 128 368 924 1406 0
VCDI 0 4 5 24 141 975 8402 4704
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63683 13240 230 184 62 15 0 0
OW 814 675 152 263 182 107 1 0
VODI 1896 187 113 264 228 232 16 0
ODI 1778 56 41 174 272 311 126 0
CDI 0 28 16 85 376 1361 1922 0
VCDI 0 4 7 13 89 874 8464 4321
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63688 13456 264 262 89 17 0 0
OW 818 504 139 267 197 98 2 0
VODI 1915 157 103 234 266 292 31 0
ODI 1750 56 36 145 266 364 178 0
CDI 0 15 13 68 327 1398 2107 0
VCDI 0 2 4 7 64 731 8211 4321

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63182 12927 663 143 21 0 0 0
OW 822 981 202 284 157 9 0 0
VODI 1881 260 134 345 354 151 2 0
ODI 1801 94 40 142 332 368 24 0
CDI 0 60 43 132 356 1429 716 2
VCDI 0 15 19 90 301 1699 9151 3530
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63203 13320 719 223 56 4 0 0
OW 814 692 185 288 227 57 0 0
VODI 1896 217 116 312 306 247 11 0
ODI 1773 71 40 140 339 432 42 0
CDI 0 33 31 123 334 1352 1045 5
VCDI 0 4 10 50 259 1564 8795 3527

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65690 11185 121 109 23 0 0 0
OW 811 966 226 286 130 18 0 0
VODI 1858 129 114 386 399 121 3 0
ODI 1825 47 30 132 343 359 18 0
CDI 0 16 22 97 390 1300 341 0
VCDI 0 2 1 26 212 1572 9528 4026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65708 11086 127 161 46 0 0 0
OW 800 826 199 256 204 52 0 0
VODI 1878 246 99 300 326 275 7 0
ODI 1798 106 45 137 269 446 75 0
CDI 0 67 29 138 386 1059 855 2
VCDI 0 14 15 44 266 1538 8953 4024

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65474 11077 149 154 24 4 0 0
OW 818 908 152 306 171 38 5 0
VODI 1837 266 122 214 353 169 26 0
ODI 1850 68 62 163 217 268 57 0
CDI 0 37 27 159 333 999 1024 3
VCDI 0 18 7 44 139 985 9067 5068
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65457 10762 134 172 60 11 0 0
OW 837 871 149 259 167 76 10 0
VODI 1856 450 86 218 301 203 52 0
ODI 1829 171 68 121 215 368 148 0
CDI 0 71 63 204 355 854 1268 1
VCDI 0 49 19 66 139 951 8701 5070

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62867 13485 157 157 11 2 3 0
OW 795 967 139 257 131 37 7 0
VODI 1814 379 110 236 218 137 50 0
ODI 1875 128 51 134 257 215 115 0
CDI 0 81 49 174 345 695 901 2
VCDI 0 1 8 40 171 832 9175 5654
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62830 13219 157 192 39 8 5 0
OW 834 926 91 159 123 93 31 0
VODI 1825 501 128 213 143 114 124 0
ODI 1862 230 67 179 247 169 170 0
CDI 0 140 44 175 391 691 1270 19
VCDI 0 25 27 80 190 843 8651 5637


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