Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 218 627 11 1 0 0 0 0
OW 8 241 10 10 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 29 23 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 62 15 52 22 23 0 0
CDI 0 78 9 49 125 114 7 19
VCDI 0 222 66 185 344 1224 9932 18220
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 197 541 7 8 1 0 0 0
OW 6 166 19 21 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 19 45 29 7 0 0
ODI 0 49 15 32 53 21 0 0
CDI 0 60 11 25 75 123 72 2
VCDI 0 152 27 85 195 749 10061 19081
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88 589 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 162 17 16 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 32 43 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 17 52 54 5 0 0
CDI 0 22 12 39 85 159 19 0
VCDI 0 6 3 32 106 778 9715 19873
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 511 5 7 2 0 0 0
OW 0 122 30 35 21 8 0 0
VODI 0 68 18 40 32 10 0 0
ODI 0 20 6 34 49 40 2 0
CDI 0 32 8 31 64 146 59 1
VCDI 0 16 11 22 63 411 6824 23291
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 558 19 16 8 2 0 0
OW 0 97 24 36 26 13 0 0
VODI 0 53 15 53 41 27 1 0
ODI 0 22 5 26 56 59 3 0
CDI 0 26 10 21 58 172 152 5
VCDI 0 13 5 17 42 342 6729 23287

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76 419 2 5 0 0 0 0
OW 7 155 9 20 34 1 0 0
VODI 0 102 15 17 19 33 0 0
ODI 0 40 18 32 16 40 2 0
CDI 0 46 8 41 53 134 9 0
VCDI 0 39 22 48 84 393 5915 24228
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 487 5 13 9 0 0 0
OW 4 129 14 19 34 21 0 0
VODI 0 88 18 28 29 44 2 0
ODI 0 36 14 35 29 55 2 0
CDI 0 38 7 37 48 154 125 0
VCDI 0 23 16 31 57 327 5797 24228

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116 445 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 2 242 9 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 54 49 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 8 65 32 3 0 0
CDI 0 84 18 43 77 91 61 19
VCDI 0 12 26 77 122 473 8621 21155
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114 510 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 4 177 31 20 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 29 56 11 2 0 0
ODI 0 48 19 57 39 11 1 0
CDI 0 53 10 40 82 113 91 32
VCDI 0 48 23 61 100 441 8590 21142

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 470 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 221 12 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 27 26 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 21 47 27 8 3 0
CDI 0 42 24 82 106 142 76 0
VCDI 0 17 11 45 102 331 9153 20880
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 525 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 205 19 18 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 122 28 65 16 9 0 0
ODI 0 35 21 44 61 29 5 0
CDI 0 34 14 35 64 138 130 7
VCDI 0 19 12 48 98 304 9097 20873

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 373 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 9 209 12 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 136 22 29 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 11 35 34 8 0 0
CDI 0 67 21 54 93 127 31 19
VCDI 0 27 25 56 100 405 4352 25696
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58 339 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 2 140 6 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 36 40 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 73 15 35 36 5 3 15
CDI 0 77 9 46 109 155 71 91
VCDI 0 100 24 51 83 380 4309 25609


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