Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98146 12273 320 374 67 4 0 0
OW 1323 1382 358 634 235 24 0 0
VODI 2826 397 252 701 683 182 0 0
ODI 0 49 56 399 791 544 36 0
CDI 0 7 22 264 1137 2238 578 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 459 10734 29032 14254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97694 11212 241 309 61 2 0 0
OW 1252 1608 357 654 327 45 0 0
VODI 2981 485 293 744 627 260 5 0
ODI 0 70 71 378 733 670 36 0
CDI 0 6 28 288 964 2190 390 0
VCDI 0 0 1 47 495 10176 29337 15773
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94932 11927 366 477 110 0 0 0
OW 1209 1296 408 659 200 10 0 0
VODI 3017 206 262 1078 980 89 1 0
ODI 0 19 64 261 1317 625 13 0
CDI 0 7 22 146 899 2699 445 0
VCDI 0 8 9 110 574 10872 27024 18469
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94092 11405 337 362 138 25 0 0
OW 1185 1195 323 627 488 70 0 0
VODI 3047 389 213 704 1092 344 7 0
ODI 1 37 42 340 892 647 19 0
CDI 0 27 17 80 864 2400 264 0
VCDI 0 22 18 66 766 9624 27689 20952
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94087 11536 381 448 156 12 0 0
OW 1192 1190 294 606 524 94 0 0
VODI 3046 277 204 659 1094 365 8 0
ODI 0 31 35 323 880 687 16 0
CDI 0 18 18 72 827 2286 293 0
VCDI 0 23 18 71 759 9666 27662 20952

Date: 2024-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92004 11690 387 613 180 0 0 0
OW 1162 1094 284 618 432 79 3 0
VODI 3083 352 171 517 899 565 26 0
ODI 0 93 70 256 738 960 89 0
CDI 0 48 15 144 593 2247 488 0
VCDI 0 33 13 37 78 5926 26897 27926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92001 11811 419 700 225 3 1 0
OW 1165 994 265 564 412 98 2 0
VODI 3083 339 165 519 942 603 22 0
ODI 0 83 62 234 686 941 97 0
CDI 0 43 12 133 568 2185 527 0
VCDI 0 40 17 35 87 5947 26854 27926

Date: 2024-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90625 11471 321 524 168 0 0 0
OW 1111 1117 286 488 223 18 0 0
VODI 3250 234 202 687 755 89 3 0
ODI 0 13 51 313 1293 501 16 0
CDI 0 4 9 77 841 3344 327 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 102 4659 28369 29303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90689 11149 358 689 267 11 0 0
OW 1179 1110 243 523 496 83 2 0
VODI 3118 390 156 434 949 432 16 0
ODI 0 110 70 231 643 993 106 0
CDI 0 62 29 176 774 1925 447 1
VCDI 0 18 13 52 253 5167 28144 29302

Date: 2024-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89095 11914 537 302 277 15 0 0
OW 1129 1186 399 461 202 24 0 0
VODI 3278 341 223 676 539 120 1 0
ODI 0 78 60 364 690 359 17 0
CDI 0 17 25 141 780 2046 447 0
VCDI 0 3 2 41 407 6902 26918 30794
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89041 11009 474 330 290 21 0 0
OW 1177 1601 398 470 305 66 0 0
VODI 3284 574 217 624 745 321 5 0
ODI 0 200 92 315 530 848 78 0
CDI 0 112 55 200 687 2166 673 0
VCDI 0 43 10 46 338 6044 26627 30794

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89746 10432 264 283 103 1 0 0
OW 1151 1391 356 613 369 24 0 0
VODI 3293 427 271 691 531 108 0 0
ODI 0 120 62 317 706 303 23 0
CDI 0 80 38 194 748 1258 174 0
VCDI 0 44 18 91 529 5858 25175 35018
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89583 9660 263 320 167 0 0 0
OW 1268 1430 343 665 395 43 0 0
VODI 3337 707 194 617 897 327 23 0
ODI 2 277 81 213 520 668 80 1
CDI 0 357 97 232 492 1443 640 19
VCDI 0 63 31 142 515 5071 24629 34998


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