Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-05-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60789 12105 85 52 11 1 0 0
OW 776 1951 156 214 65 15 0 0
VODI 1828 562 285 601 292 78 11 0
ODI 1857 102 106 474 689 328 85 0
CDI 0 96 40 266 1244 2833 1685 0
VCDI 0 60 32 118 356 1547 7777 3290
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60696 12173 53 51 9 0 0 0
OW 776 1985 151 199 47 20 7 0
VODI 1845 777 272 547 271 81 74 0
ODI 1839 218 126 541 660 354 129 0
CDI 0 168 83 423 1618 2604 1355 0
VCDI 0 73 27 100 291 2067 7934 2218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60887 12609 59 62 0 0 0 0
OW 787 1976 234 209 39 24 4 0
VODI 1890 496 339 967 384 110 20 0
ODI 1779 82 77 443 935 428 45 0
CDI 0 79 39 305 1222 3177 1630 0
VCDI 0 11 9 55 111 1121 7964 2254
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61557 12075 55 33 2 0 0 0
OW 796 2077 225 157 56 21 0 0
VODI 1911 642 342 923 389 75 28 0
ODI 1752 158 77 411 811 344 57 0
CDI 0 84 68 338 1301 2681 1725 0
VCDI 0 0 6 40 144 1479 8403 1619
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61561 12171 66 33 7 0 0 0
OW 791 1943 211 168 63 17 0 0
VODI 1910 682 336 905 405 75 20 0
ODI 1754 168 92 433 747 320 64 0
CDI 0 70 60 325 1352 2698 1783 1
VCDI 0 2 8 38 129 1490 8346 1618

Date: 2024-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61766 12048 49 20 4 0 0 0
OW 792 1985 202 224 66 20 5 0
VODI 1928 655 325 827 317 93 60 0
ODI 1734 143 84 417 673 298 92 0
CDI 0 41 63 433 1503 3139 1374 34
VCDI 0 14 15 59 185 1349 8038 1788
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61766 12113 63 36 10 0 0 0
OW 791 1879 193 209 55 15 5 0
VODI 1927 692 306 812 339 108 49 0
ODI 1736 149 107 438 644 281 85 0
CDI 0 39 55 436 1542 3111 1661 135
VCDI 0 14 14 49 158 1384 7769 1687

Date: 2024-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61711 12806 44 37 0 0 0 0
OW 805 1909 268 178 30 4 0 0
VODI 1992 404 322 1010 423 71 9 0
ODI 1652 16 50 387 990 484 74 0
CDI 0 13 27 209 1172 4211 1145 0
VCDI 0 1 1 9 18 538 6246 3596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61708 12130 52 50 7 0 0 0
OW 793 1969 180 171 50 24 2 0
VODI 1947 750 279 682 313 124 76 0
ODI 1712 216 107 418 646 296 107 0
CDI 0 75 86 454 1455 3852 1486 26
VCDI 0 9 8 55 162 1012 5803 3570

Date: 2024-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62005 12637 85 36 0 0 0 0
OW 806 1851 242 288 26 7 1 0
VODI 2012 388 328 840 328 65 40 0
ODI 1629 30 64 440 897 332 79 0
CDI 0 11 27 240 1321 3860 1400 0
VCDI 0 6 14 55 149 1443 4822 4058
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62002 11969 93 54 12 4 1 0
OW 798 1910 162 232 44 24 32 0
VODI 1969 784 291 570 247 72 102 0
ODI 1683 162 107 468 573 226 118 0
CDI 0 88 89 475 1545 3796 1722 0
VCDI 0 10 18 100 300 1585 4367 4058

Date: 2024-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62507 12247 57 18 0 0 0 0
OW 806 1811 274 239 41 11 1 0
VODI 2037 450 326 714 330 86 45 0
ODI 1600 77 76 473 780 342 50 0
CDI 0 35 54 301 1295 3669 1553 0
VCDI 0 9 12 66 266 1610 3984 4610
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62501 11522 74 64 25 4 0 0
OW 804 1815 210 192 60 48 8 0
VODI 1989 878 219 467 289 115 66 0
ODI 1656 251 174 459 543 258 126 0
CDI 0 151 100 511 1421 3525 1777 0
VCDI 0 12 22 118 374 1768 3656 4610


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