Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-02-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 11 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 16 44 27 4 1 0
ODI 0 43 14 15 15 9 1 0
CDI 0 56 7 14 18 36 8 0
VCDI 0 41 19 45 58 477 11640 19363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 20 4 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 24 56 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 8 17 21 6 0 0
CDI 0 63 7 2 7 2 7 0
VCDI 0 87 41 67 116 656 13010 17716
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 31 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 241 14 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 139 1 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 3 11 5 2 0 0
CDI 0 68 14 31 35 27 7 2
VCDI 0 221 57 157 417 1298 10008 19244
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62 76 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 73 141 7 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 168 6 9 7 2 0 0
ODI 0 64 4 18 8 4 0 0
CDI 0 132 18 35 46 56 8 0
VCDI 0 555 104 246 752 2322 7451 19703
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55 80 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 80 129 7 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 172 5 9 6 1 0 0
ODI 0 71 7 15 9 6 0 0
CDI 0 126 16 32 40 50 6 0
VCDI 0 558 104 252 758 2327 7453 19703

Date: 2024-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116 79 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 71 164 11 5 3 0 0 0
VODI 21 166 10 16 8 1 0 0
ODI 0 76 9 19 27 4 1 0
CDI 0 111 30 57 56 47 49 0
VCDI 0 627 118 403 866 2389 6926 19595
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120 80 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 74 143 8 5 3 0 0 0
VODI 14 176 13 16 6 1 0 0
ODI 0 71 6 18 22 4 1 0
CDI 0 115 28 56 57 37 53 0
VCDI 0 638 123 405 872 2399 6922 19595

Date: 2024-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 169 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 16 299 7 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 13 23 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 11 29 41 2 3 0
CDI 0 255 41 106 165 167 54 0
VCDI 0 71 55 237 627 2503 7830 19105
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54 93 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 41 194 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 127 12 24 14 6 0 0
ODI 0 52 3 20 22 10 3 0
CDI 0 88 13 37 75 100 38 0
VCDI 0 396 99 317 737 2556 7846 19105

Date: 2024-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 153 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 18 223 8 18 7 0 0 0
VODI 1 90 10 41 27 2 0 0
ODI 0 42 3 8 41 4 1 0
CDI 0 56 2 15 69 74 37 0
VCDI 0 127 48 155 464 2033 8620 19660
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 76 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 18 214 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 7 98 3 7 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 9 16 20 1 1 0
CDI 0 42 2 19 55 67 48 0
VCDI 0 231 57 195 525 2045 8609 19660

Date: 2024-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 183 15 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 32 48 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 11 22 29 7 0 0
CDI 0 39 7 9 47 45 11 0
VCDI 0 165 40 139 401 1906 7844 20794
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 65 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 145 4 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 31 34 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 6 2 2 6 3 0
CDI 0 29 9 11 31 28 12 0
VCDI 0 235 55 185 459 1924 7840 20794


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