Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-02-08

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2024-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45979 1394 16 2 0
c1 1056 2926 256 77 0
c2 414 2517 2156 1073 0
c3 168 1243 1640 2565 0
c4 16 434 735 2435 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44844 1059 31 12 0
c1 660 2648 326 71 0
c2 116 2156 2485 915 0
c3 24 548 1950 2467 0
c4 1 251 510 1946 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 41023 1651 46 7 0
c1 989 3273 433 83 0
c2 104 2003 2684 1228 0
c3 21 514 1484 2323 0
c4 2 318 522 2316 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38767 1304 19 0 0
c1 1066 3792 419 67 0
c2 78 2487 2771 949 0
c3 2 752 1627 2834 0
c4 0 204 631 1636 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38761 1346 19 0 0
c1 1074 3741 417 66 0
c2 76 2497 2768 946 0
c3 2 745 1633 2847 0
c4 0 210 630 1627 0

Date: 2024-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46278 1356 22 6 0
c1 690 2869 185 48 0
c2 52 2209 2025 921 0
c3 0 625 1286 2229 0
c4 0 113 557 1340 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46247 1364 22 5 0
c1 713 2863 184 55 0
c2 60 2200 1997 907 0
c3 0 615 1323 2245 0
c4 0 130 549 1332 0

Date: 2024-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46976 1174 28 43 0
c1 702 3005 241 65 0
c2 8 2069 2044 827 0
c3 0 469 1146 2265 0
c4 0 175 897 1903 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46728 1265 28 44 0
c1 910 2679 262 96 0
c2 45 2069 1871 954 0
c3 3 650 1275 2271 0
c4 0 229 920 1738 0

Date: 2024-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46863 1017 33 25 0
c1 832 2105 209 82 0
c2 33 1836 2004 881 0
c3 11 492 1376 2267 0
c4 7 314 1065 2108 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46722 1171 37 28 0
c1 910 1810 216 125 0
c2 112 1884 1921 874 0
c3 2 587 1561 2504 0
c4 0 312 952 1832 0

Date: 2024-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 35652 1060 15 20 0
c1 580 2216 202 51 0
c2 57 1290 2040 969 0
c3 16 323 1089 2346 0
c4 6 255 521 2064 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 35707 1363 16 21 0
c1 484 1987 224 72 0
c2 119 1309 1822 923 0
c3 1 377 1306 2700 0
c4 0 108 499 1734 0


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