Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-01-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46095 1170 86 51 0
c1 1338 5606 1032 295 0
c2 81 2001 2910 2590 0
c3 70 421 1150 2632 0
c4 7 212 619 996 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51024 1042 47 24 0
c1 765 5681 812 101 0
c2 55 2031 2953 2395 0
c3 21 349 901 2130 0
c4 2 267 506 1246 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45751 1058 51 40 0
c1 790 5130 965 273 0
c2 33 2007 3211 1900 0
c3 8 318 1145 2491 0
c4 3 216 462 1796 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49145 1109 46 80 0
c1 754 5049 1097 220 0
c2 29 1896 3600 2170 0
c3 6 269 1159 2821 0
c4 0 157 420 1009 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49174 1161 44 78 0
c1 729 5068 1127 224 0
c2 25 1817 3564 2192 0
c3 6 277 1166 2795 0
c4 0 157 421 1011 0

Date: 2024-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43827 1345 38 17 0
c1 527 4805 1437 245 0
c2 19 1426 3639 2389 0
c3 1 228 983 2321 0
c4 0 159 378 795 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43793 1407 38 17 0
c1 564 4748 1467 256 0
c2 16 1406 3575 2375 0
c3 1 246 1021 2328 0
c4 0 156 374 791 0

Date: 2024-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43109 983 29 21 0
c1 192 3586 908 138 0
c2 3 1492 2626 1553 0
c3 3 365 1179 2051 0
c4 0 66 343 866 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42809 916 30 21 0
c1 474 3485 889 248 0
c2 16 1621 2684 1590 0
c3 5 311 1058 1926 0
c4 3 159 424 844 0

Date: 2024-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46109 1320 7 0 0
c1 273 4011 913 83 0
c2 14 1848 3115 1771 0
c3 10 412 1233 2632 0
c4 0 59 284 1727 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45783 1351 9 0 0
c1 581 3709 881 208 0
c2 14 2105 3184 1782 0
c3 18 331 1089 2610 0
c4 10 154 389 1613 0

Date: 2024-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42118 1054 36 74 0
c1 402 3424 438 104 0
c2 24 2297 2508 1072 0
c3 4 473 1390 2896 0
c4 0 122 468 1136 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 41805 1104 61 82 0
c1 689 3061 375 125 0
c2 40 2569 2595 1147 0
c3 13 407 1274 2688 0
c4 1 229 535 1240 0


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