Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-03-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46631 1149 20 60 0
c1 326 2712 514 70 0
c2 5 1582 2496 937 0
c3 0 280 1954 2565 0
c4 0 196 1714 3881 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49617 1667 14 31 0
c1 240 3081 461 55 0
c2 3 1349 2868 1170 0
c3 0 299 1789 3073 0
c4 0 483 1921 4081 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48132 1477 13 10 0
c1 296 2634 389 106 0
c2 28 1332 2625 1101 0
c3 9 569 1753 3124 0
c4 0 322 1857 4522 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48905 1884 40 23 0
c1 262 2581 412 103 0
c2 0 1475 2808 1055 0
c3 0 624 2226 3324 0
c4 0 247 1720 4797 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48887 1907 43 24 0
c1 280 2531 391 101 0
c2 0 1511 2842 1063 0
c3 0 636 2221 3318 0
c4 0 226 1709 4796 0

Date: 2023-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49938 1596 33 23 0
c1 146 2302 386 42 0
c2 0 1362 2686 1085 0
c3 0 597 2660 2787 0
c4 0 304 2136 4250 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49931 1612 35 23 0
c1 153 2247 372 33 0
c2 0 1408 2730 1101 0
c3 0 598 2622 2774 0
c4 0 296 2142 4256 0

Date: 2023-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49457 1619 25 21 0
c1 189 2697 347 48 0
c2 4 1801 2787 800 0
c3 0 718 2878 3153 0
c4 0 265 1463 3654 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49432 1732 46 21 0
c1 215 2408 325 62 0
c2 3 1851 2618 922 0
c3 0 668 2596 2626 0
c4 0 441 1915 4045 0

Date: 2023-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48891 1606 41 25 0
c1 156 2473 233 85 0
c2 0 2079 2183 996 0
c3 0 532 2780 3368 0
c4 0 203 1497 3549 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48838 1699 54 31 0
c1 209 2238 278 98 0
c2 0 1901 2183 1192 0
c3 0 711 2306 2597 0
c4 0 344 1913 4105 0

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49774 1668 22 48 0
c1 216 2265 173 147 0
c2 0 2003 1851 856 0
c3 0 521 2561 3080 0
c4 0 134 1427 2759 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49627 1658 34 56 0
c1 351 2100 183 151 0
c2 12 1831 1795 1122 0
c3 0 667 2204 2343 0
c4 0 335 1818 3218 0


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