Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-02-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50224 1400 9 0 0
c1 1389 3356 555 89 0
c2 202 1666 2787 1149 0
c3 40 423 2322 3675 0
c4 4 232 537 1642 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53297 1405 0 0 0
c1 631 3395 238 41 0
c2 108 1658 3129 1258 0
c3 18 494 2361 4014 0
c4 0 86 534 1522 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50953 1286 5 0 0
c1 818 3679 157 41 0
c2 129 1671 2860 1279 0
c3 12 509 2246 3816 0
c4 0 145 571 1761 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53089 1593 2 0 0
c1 1064 3660 205 54 0
c2 154 1816 2349 1400 0
c3 7 699 2149 3804 0
c4 0 180 660 1646 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53106 1618 2 0 0
c1 1042 3664 211 58 0
c2 158 1773 2344 1391 0
c3 8 711 2149 3796 0
c4 0 182 659 1659 0

Date: 2023-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51417 1843 4 2 0
c1 926 3936 384 39 0
c2 68 1866 2281 1201 0
c3 0 939 2540 3563 0
c4 0 244 592 1577 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51395 1869 4 2 0
c1 943 3898 384 41 0
c2 73 1857 2269 1178 0
c3 0 961 2525 3562 0
c4 0 243 619 1599 0

Date: 2023-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51862 1577 22 12 0
c1 518 4678 338 27 0
c2 0 1224 2463 1174 0
c3 0 411 2054 4241 0
c4 0 62 571 1657 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51651 1526 23 10 0
c1 680 4040 318 56 0
c2 49 1655 2174 1197 0
c3 0 623 2151 3889 0
c4 0 108 782 1959 0

Date: 2023-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50121 1345 24 8 0
c1 724 3892 306 49 0
c2 12 1541 2163 1050 0
c3 0 388 1977 4311 0
c4 0 77 722 2051 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49943 1452 26 8 0
c1 800 3139 306 73 0
c2 80 1875 1993 1019 0
c3 34 591 1982 3989 0
c4 0 186 885 2380 0

Date: 2023-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48876 1346 14 4 0
c1 869 3908 673 25 0
c2 37 1717 2177 839 0
c3 0 412 2009 4066 0
c4 0 152 960 3178 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48478 1411 15 4 0
c1 1084 3171 784 62 0
c2 112 1983 2002 793 0
c3 101 629 1929 3783 0
c4 7 341 1103 3470 0


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