Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-01-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52384 1281 21 9 0
c1 1388 3175 671 234 0
c2 53 1369 3460 2361 0
c3 26 208 1260 3131 0
c4 9 182 280 846 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51618 1332 9 5 0
c1 897 3542 313 50 0
c2 86 1245 3387 1606 0
c3 34 255 1504 3565 0
c4 20 148 226 1034 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45026 793 0 0 0
c1 1077 3239 262 59 0
c2 83 1896 3171 1532 0
c3 16 294 1262 3611 0
c4 7 155 226 934 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51163 826 10 5 0
c1 1266 3390 238 55 0
c2 93 1697 3225 1340 0
c3 41 370 1601 3586 0
c4 0 203 398 852 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51168 853 9 4 0
c1 1266 3379 237 54 0
c2 90 1689 3258 1358 0
c3 39 361 1561 3557 0
c4 0 204 407 865 0

Date: 2023-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52189 1195 0 0 0
c1 1444 3465 159 72 0
c2 106 2232 2525 1362 0
c3 74 438 2012 3622 0
c4 8 240 345 988 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52157 1202 0 0 0
c1 1480 3469 166 76 0
c2 105 2235 2536 1318 0
c3 72 419 1986 3644 0
c4 7 245 353 1006 0

Date: 2023-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51522 1293 3 0 0
c1 923 4134 132 34 0
c2 17 2495 2622 1127 0
c3 7 585 1784 3250 0
c4 6 236 589 1199 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50969 1185 3 0 0
c1 1345 4013 205 48 0
c2 88 2514 2512 1122 0
c3 60 690 1801 3221 0
c4 13 341 609 1219 0

Date: 2023-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53198 1606 1 1 0
c1 813 4163 263 49 0
c2 15 2570 2498 1015 0
c3 5 585 2016 3424 0
c4 2 243 542 1415 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52697 1368 6 1 0
c1 1204 4015 244 58 0
c2 88 2661 2412 1013 0
c3 33 755 2053 3313 0
c4 11 368 605 1519 0

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53879 1410 2 0 0
c1 645 3900 435 89 0
c2 42 1928 2594 1669 0
c3 11 368 2031 3603 0
c4 1 254 562 1547 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53309 1196 2 0 0
c1 1066 3471 385 121 0
c2 92 2271 2607 1554 0
c3 82 545 2025 3567 0
c4 29 377 605 1666 0


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