Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-15

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55899 2403 59 9 0
c1 857 8179 1432 570 0
c2 18 1345 3373 2136 0
c3 2 194 1011 2417 0
c4 0 112 549 1119 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56546 2140 44 14 0
c1 641 9356 673 106 0
c2 2 1332 3211 2406 0
c3 0 260 1122 2476 0
c4 0 115 516 979 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53845 1760 69 17 0
c1 599 9325 897 120 0
c2 7 1471 3149 2051 0
c3 3 238 1110 2561 0
c4 0 84 268 918 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54380 1976 83 42 0
c1 579 7051 1350 216 0
c2 6 1731 3055 2286 0
c3 3 211 1346 2198 0
c4 0 111 223 675 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54368 1988 83 46 0
c1 591 7067 1360 201 0
c2 7 1700 3031 2269 0
c3 2 209 1352 2215 0
c4 0 116 231 686 0

Date: 2022-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54082 1738 106 51 0
c1 1062 7964 1560 145 0
c2 7 1539 3731 2239 0
c3 3 153 1175 2227 0
c4 2 147 445 773 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54064 1788 105 57 0
c1 1081 7929 1561 141 0
c2 6 1518 3689 2222 0
c3 3 150 1222 2244 0
c4 2 156 440 771 0

Date: 2022-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53290 1526 94 22 0
c1 687 7139 1599 459 0
c2 14 1602 3487 1832 0
c3 4 357 1555 3050 0
c4 0 167 476 787 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53143 1613 108 42 0
c1 831 6840 1678 381 0
c2 13 1854 3871 2387 0
c3 3 284 1108 2537 0
c4 5 200 446 803 0

Date: 2022-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54404 1880 91 17 0
c1 525 6633 1831 472 0
c2 10 1209 3425 2241 0
c3 6 328 1257 2875 0
c4 1 185 632 1107 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54200 1885 116 28 0
c1 730 6389 1845 482 0
c2 8 1470 3688 2645 0
c3 4 285 927 2335 0
c4 4 206 660 1222 0

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53549 1548 97 11 0
c1 669 5290 1706 688 0
c2 12 1500 3012 2369 0
c3 8 224 1460 2821 0
c4 4 230 573 1208 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53339 1480 119 25 0
c1 876 5163 1705 698 0
c2 15 1682 3194 2565 0
c3 6 247 1230 2398 0
c4 6 220 600 1411 0


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