Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-11-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48897 2125 4 0 0
c1 922 7372 1090 418 0
c2 7 1313 2744 3510 0
c3 0 347 1021 1914 0
c4 0 61 218 319 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67567 2212 9 0 0
c1 596 7559 1081 127 0
c2 2 1110 2414 3217 0
c3 0 277 1209 2799 0
c4 0 85 288 478 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64017 2124 15 20 0
c1 624 6865 1544 233 0
c2 2 1011 2728 2784 0
c3 0 132 755 2050 0
c4 0 51 197 670 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65847 2164 16 35 0
c1 868 6616 1141 177 0
c2 3 1223 3017 2751 0
c3 0 130 642 1875 0
c4 0 30 241 382 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65822 2203 16 36 0
c1 894 6563 1168 172 0
c2 2 1239 2996 2753 0
c3 0 127 634 1868 0
c4 0 31 243 391 0

Date: 2022-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66955 2168 24 31 0
c1 1016 6178 1032 143 0
c2 9 1070 3430 2702 0
c3 0 283 515 1745 0
c4 0 201 413 489 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66895 2162 24 31 0
c1 1074 6192 1078 128 0
c2 11 1063 3396 2739 0
c3 0 275 497 1715 0
c4 0 208 419 497 0

Date: 2022-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65533 1918 25 26 0
c1 920 6622 781 89 0
c2 14 1075 3434 2879 0
c3 2 383 556 1670 0
c4 0 552 704 539 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65065 2113 25 26 0
c1 1352 6160 783 103 0
c2 35 1270 3515 2760 0
c3 17 415 454 1823 0
c4 0 592 723 491 0

Date: 2022-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64465 2052 16 23 0
c1 1319 5977 840 104 0
c2 17 1477 3359 2321 0
c3 1 517 553 1534 0
c4 0 816 517 959 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63817 2117 16 23 0
c1 1936 5649 749 61 0
c2 29 1697 3480 2302 0
c3 20 554 531 1583 0
c4 0 822 509 972 0

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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