Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-04-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50829 1596 42 30 0
c1 542 5257 636 218 0
c2 0 2540 2395 1255 0
c3 0 623 1803 2550 0
c4 0 399 1685 3375 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50173 1612 41 55 0
c1 342 5437 485 157 0
c2 0 2313 2433 736 0
c3 0 414 2101 2850 0
c4 0 219 1483 3483 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51337 1671 44 69 0
c1 366 5515 578 164 0
c2 0 2801 2103 641 0
c3 0 508 2428 2443 0
c4 0 299 1775 3608 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52055 1860 69 43 0
c1 303 4940 603 218 0
c2 12 2846 2308 544 0
c3 0 620 2371 2249 0
c4 0 604 1960 3308 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52050 1918 69 42 0
c1 305 4901 630 212 0
c2 14 2833 2290 554 0
c3 1 613 2368 2244 0
c4 0 605 1954 3310 0

Date: 2022-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52660 1781 56 53 0
c1 484 4752 524 147 0
c2 12 2723 2373 524 0
c3 4 778 2171 2469 0
c4 0 782 2045 4177 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52651 1795 55 52 0
c1 492 4790 546 152 0
c2 12 2696 2365 523 0
c3 5 758 2172 2440 0
c4 0 777 2031 4203 0

Date: 2022-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51069 1735 29 33 0
c1 475 5206 340 120 0
c2 24 2773 2171 873 0
c3 9 875 2137 2603 0
c4 3 1174 1585 5307 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50825 1644 32 50 0
c1 710 4404 350 236 0
c2 33 3095 1719 688 0
c3 10 1268 2233 2423 0
c4 2 1352 1928 5539 0

Date: 2022-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51646 2020 31 7 0
c1 268 4726 467 243 0
c2 10 2367 2219 1267 0
c3 9 846 2280 2753 0
c4 1 1095 1914 6086 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51278 1942 56 10 0
c1 633 4150 479 381 0
c2 17 2590 1772 999 0
c3 5 1054 2353 2927 0
c4 1 1318 2251 6039 0

Date: 2022-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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