Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50133 2205 91 5 0
c1 1280 4924 504 157 0
c2 162 2807 2000 571 0
c3 54 1439 2868 2943 0
c4 2 813 1874 5943 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52232 2093 19 22 0
c1 1094 5255 407 100 0
c2 19 3110 2587 588 0
c3 0 677 2853 3381 0
c4 0 382 1878 4659 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51733 1930 30 24 0
c1 1071 5328 442 124 0
c2 8 2833 2760 637 0
c3 0 748 3727 2668 0
c4 0 206 1615 4347 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51194 2179 52 22 0
c1 768 5456 414 123 0
c2 0 3003 2680 690 0
c3 0 775 3504 2514 0
c4 0 259 1685 3930 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51199 2206 54 26 0
c1 763 5429 411 122 0
c2 0 2995 2682 702 0
c3 0 785 3484 2500 0
c4 0 257 1704 3929 0

Date: 2022-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49990 2171 53 40 0
c1 737 5272 371 98 0
c2 4 2657 2445 1043 0
c3 0 866 2483 2752 0
c4 0 254 1698 5487 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50009 2238 52 41 0
c1 720 5221 384 103 0
c2 2 2661 2402 1052 0
c3 0 856 2507 2731 0
c4 0 244 1705 5493 0

Date: 2022-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50350 1562 29 22 0
c1 562 5611 673 210 0
c2 3 2341 2403 1454 0
c3 0 582 1552 2845 0
c4 0 447 1498 3431 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50238 1818 34 38 0
c1 677 4610 418 144 0
c2 0 2612 1935 1157 0
c3 0 1088 2099 2916 0
c4 0 415 1669 3707 0

Date: 2022-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51478 1535 41 19 0
c1 384 5448 672 157 0
c2 0 2382 2200 1477 0
c3 0 616 1811 2431 0
c4 0 483 1801 3170 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51288 1869 109 31 0
c1 573 4491 472 123 0
c2 1 2526 1824 976 0
c3 0 1172 2136 2664 0
c4 0 406 1984 3460 0

Date: 2022-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50829 1596 42 30 0
c1 542 5257 636 218 0
c2 0 2540 2395 1255 0
c3 0 623 1803 2550 0
c4 0 399 1685 3375 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50584 1929 84 40 0
c1 780 4253 471 199 0
c2 7 2658 1881 832 0
c3 0 1133 2290 2646 0
c4 0 442 1835 3711 0


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