Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50923 1882 56 27 0
c1 1139 4712 286 39 0
c2 49 2954 2550 792 0
c3 0 831 2288 3546 0
c4 0 250 1035 2549 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50997 1649 25 30 0
c1 1037 5195 576 126 0
c2 64 1889 2713 946 0
c3 13 851 2065 3682 0
c4 0 369 1249 2787 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52229 2015 62 18 0
c1 1153 4502 431 126 0
c2 122 2260 2121 772 0
c3 38 1557 2415 3009 0
c4 1 1233 1530 3457 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51763 2257 111 2 0
c1 1336 4865 459 175 0
c2 188 2633 1865 673 0
c3 59 1625 2459 2964 0
c4 4 1069 1513 5011 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51743 2256 112 2 0
c1 1359 4879 462 177 0
c2 182 2598 1832 674 0
c3 64 1643 2496 2946 0
c4 2 1073 1505 5026 0

Date: 2022-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51276 2437 77 14 0
c1 1236 5111 416 143 0
c2 145 2906 1940 495 0
c3 13 1337 3110 2950 0
c4 0 684 2267 5547 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51249 2465 79 14 0
c1 1264 5097 412 142 0
c2 144 2883 1913 505 0
c3 13 1350 3140 2902 0
c4 0 680 2266 5586 0

Date: 2022-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50712 2107 22 25 0
c1 1167 5603 384 60 0
c2 14 3027 2762 563 0
c3 1 587 3403 2803 0
c4 0 230 1610 4004 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50290 2284 32 25 0
c1 1414 4399 343 68 0
c2 170 2931 1967 471 0
c3 20 1421 3566 2574 0
c4 0 519 2273 4317 0

Date: 2022-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50899 1995 45 26 0
c1 864 4961 377 132 0
c2 2 3013 2715 602 0
c3 0 785 3625 2551 0
c4 0 223 1539 4192 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50701 2180 50 26 0
c1 1017 3656 269 117 0
c2 42 3254 1982 466 0
c3 5 1458 3815 2403 0
c4 0 429 2185 4491 0

Date: 2022-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51354 1962 57 45 0
c1 769 5122 344 105 0
c2 0 2799 2554 868 0
c3 0 876 2666 2961 0
c4 0 301 1729 4514 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51195 2403 57 47 0
c1 888 3575 338 93 0
c2 39 3236 1748 541 0
c3 1 1389 3111 2801 0
c4 0 457 2096 5011 0


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