Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51047 1746 61 30 0
c1 626 5033 486 113 0
c2 11 2905 2379 865 0
c3 2 598 2492 2795 0
c4 0 229 1488 3172 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50144 1966 54 16 0
c1 504 5916 478 100 0
c2 7 3346 2431 686 0
c3 1 516 2560 2931 0
c4 0 190 1039 2389 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49881 1884 46 27 0
c1 701 5484 501 68 0
c2 14 3160 2355 712 0
c3 2 540 2273 3145 0
c4 0 128 833 2485 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51474 1816 55 23 0
c1 1210 4111 272 38 0
c2 60 2809 2585 650 0
c3 0 945 2185 3529 0
c4 0 249 1149 2674 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51499 1801 55 21 0
c1 1180 4116 266 38 0
c2 65 2825 2552 641 0
c3 0 934 2206 3516 0
c4 0 254 1167 2698 0

Date: 2022-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51709 1686 36 65 0
c1 1203 4055 342 116 0
c2 62 2486 2828 929 0
c3 0 862 2262 3540 0
c4 0 377 1341 3288 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51733 1673 38 69 0
c1 1178 4050 343 111 0
c2 63 2519 2801 910 0
c3 0 851 2275 3565 0
c4 0 373 1352 3283 0

Date: 2022-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51670 1920 28 15 0
c1 1149 5233 509 103 0
c2 77 2350 2420 560 0
c3 16 1311 2646 2784 0
c4 0 831 1620 2527 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51319 2023 47 15 0
c1 1391 4188 355 124 0
c2 196 3117 2253 551 0
c3 6 1412 2848 2604 0
c4 0 905 1720 2695 0

Date: 2022-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50402 2511 102 19 0
c1 1207 5081 572 163 0
c2 159 2530 1934 698 0
c3 62 1711 2320 3023 0
c4 4 1215 1345 4648 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50236 2533 114 31 0
c1 1277 4309 428 146 0
c2 301 3152 1791 691 0
c3 20 1773 2572 2887 0
c4 0 1281 1368 4796 0

Date: 2022-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50133 2205 91 5 0
c1 1280 4924 504 157 0
c2 162 2807 2000 571 0
c3 54 1439 2868 2943 0
c4 2 813 1874 5943 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50054 2213 105 12 0
c1 1321 4379 362 140 0
c2 251 3203 1905 564 0
c3 5 1624 3151 2823 0
c4 0 769 1814 6080 0


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