Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-03-03

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51127 2051 52 17 0
c1 937 4698 809 102 0
c2 23 1794 3230 1012 0
c3 0 400 2421 3151 0
c4 0 129 914 2509 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51531 1908 50 24 0
c1 698 5366 485 84 0
c2 1 2242 3732 825 0
c3 0 331 2286 3546 0
c4 0 261 1031 3521 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50299 1749 43 21 0
c1 681 5202 357 109 0
c2 9 2604 3308 1009 0
c3 0 414 2259 3501 0
c4 0 283 1214 4087 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49979 1750 57 54 0
c1 668 4964 546 133 0
c2 13 2490 2922 1010 0
c3 0 457 2437 3000 0
c4 0 214 1406 3304 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50004 1777 57 56 0
c1 642 4893 558 134 0
c2 13 2531 2912 1007 0
c3 1 455 2442 2999 0
c4 0 219 1399 3305 0

Date: 2022-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50354 1826 62 44 0
c1 615 4740 448 150 0
c2 10 2878 2022 857 0
c3 2 761 2543 2510 0
c4 0 329 1403 3080 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50334 1841 65 45 0
c1 635 4709 452 149 0
c2 10 2903 1974 849 0
c3 2 751 2605 2524 0
c4 0 330 1382 3074 0

Date: 2022-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50576 1755 53 23 0
c1 619 5426 501 101 0
c2 11 3166 2322 704 0
c3 2 542 2651 2811 0
c4 0 165 964 2621 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50432 1864 68 32 0
c1 746 4648 478 148 0
c2 23 3176 1618 565 0
c3 7 1021 2789 2406 0
c4 0 345 1538 3109 0

Date: 2022-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51532 1767 42 37 0
c1 1066 5030 387 58 0
c2 41 2999 2456 757 0
c3 2 703 2060 3323 0
c4 0 219 854 2407 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51136 1805 61 71 0
c1 1335 4493 396 113 0
c2 138 2974 1643 516 0
c3 26 1028 2486 2892 0
c4 6 418 1213 2990 0

Date: 2022-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50923 1882 56 27 0
c1 1139 4712 286 39 0
c2 49 2954 2550 792 0
c3 0 831 2288 3546 0
c4 0 250 1035 2549 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50458 1897 67 41 0
c1 1266 4369 341 81 0
c2 307 2794 1905 607 0
c3 75 1061 2687 3057 0
c4 5 508 1215 3167 0


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