Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-02-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50228 1817 43 0 0
c1 916 6515 941 114 0
c2 11 2015 2880 1015 0
c3 2 467 1897 2944 0
c4 0 58 777 1938 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51100 1726 42 21 0
c1 642 6177 567 95 0
c2 7 1889 3432 877 0
c3 0 208 2089 3262 0
c4 0 14 553 2182 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51659 1714 36 31 0
c1 675 5840 1026 133 0
c2 12 1775 3126 878 1
c3 0 191 2183 3403 0
c4 0 8 533 2557 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50465 1832 54 13 0
c1 1014 5519 1053 117 0
c2 21 1776 3308 1016 1
c3 0 296 2023 3655 0
c4 0 91 587 2280 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50455 1824 56 13 0
c1 1023 5547 1057 122 0
c2 22 1759 3319 1010 1
c3 0 300 2015 3665 0
c4 0 84 578 2271 0

Date: 2022-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49816 2059 56 22 0
c1 827 5467 1027 115 0
c2 30 1853 3069 1235 0
c3 0 436 2527 3285 0
c4 0 180 819 2865 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49788 2035 56 24 0
c1 853 5478 1095 114 0
c2 32 1861 3039 1231 0
c3 0 437 2484 3303 0
c4 0 184 824 2850 0

Date: 2022-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50616 1731 42 39 0
c1 707 5078 424 128 0
c2 0 2330 3772 975 0
c3 0 359 2327 3496 0
c4 0 247 1218 3542 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50326 1831 53 43 0
c1 955 5085 806 241 0
c2 42 2068 2976 1161 0
c3 0 582 2706 3168 0
c4 0 179 1242 3567 0

Date: 2022-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51226 1696 58 43 0
c1 697 4500 389 118 0
c2 11 2454 2918 1028 0
c3 0 473 2450 3035 0
c4 0 291 1596 3967 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50919 1865 82 53 0
c1 953 4310 598 200 0
c2 62 2210 2439 1157 0
c3 0 802 2535 2868 0
c4 0 227 1757 3913 0

Date: 2022-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51047 1746 61 30 0
c1 626 5033 486 113 0
c2 11 2905 2379 865 0
c3 2 598 2492 2795 0
c4 0 229 1488 3172 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50696 1898 70 43 0
c1 904 5035 654 143 0
c2 82 2431 2033 1113 0
c3 4 891 2516 2541 0
c4 0 256 1633 3135 0


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