Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-02-17

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52195 1658 6 3 0
c1 1444 6231 427 140 0
c2 85 2256 3065 1389 0
c3 11 568 1683 2873 0
c4 0 251 706 1612 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50789 1867 12 0 0
c1 1042 6854 638 48 0
c2 60 1744 3245 996 0
c3 4 454 2039 3152 0
c4 0 60 642 1696 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47192 1641 21 4 0
c1 1020 6187 1027 75 0
c2 62 1601 3182 1129 0
c3 16 383 1699 3085 0
c4 0 48 700 1937 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51616 1939 38 3 0
c1 926 5958 1005 110 0
c2 28 1701 3066 1050 0
c3 2 403 1748 3059 0
c4 0 71 999 2045 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51626 2020 41 2 0
c1 916 5902 1006 104 0
c2 28 1662 3091 1092 0
c3 2 419 1726 3011 0
c4 0 69 992 2058 0

Date: 2022-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51504 1893 48 9 0
c1 804 6291 1055 151 0
c2 5 1972 3082 1052 0
c3 0 396 2256 2874 0
c4 0 41 718 2061 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51526 2003 50 9 0
c1 782 6221 1068 141 0
c2 5 1913 3137 1092 0
c3 0 413 2168 2845 0
c4 0 43 736 2060 0

Date: 2022-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50440 1795 37 16 0
c1 601 6672 795 106 0
c2 4 2019 3074 823 0
c3 0 203 2301 3190 0
c4 0 23 611 2289 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50372 2012 51 14 0
c1 673 6279 998 179 0
c2 0 2045 2778 998 0
c3 0 344 2281 2905 0
c4 0 32 710 2328 0

Date: 2022-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49215 1690 49 35 0
c1 798 5534 1344 158 0
c2 16 1627 3254 975 1
c3 0 194 2104 3336 0
c4 0 26 436 2309 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49136 1909 67 39 0
c1 876 5011 1385 208 0
c2 17 1823 3117 1195 1
c3 0 302 2173 3126 0
c4 0 26 445 2245 0

Date: 2022-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51127 2051 52 17 0
c1 937 4698 809 102 0
c2 23 1794 3230 1012 0
c3 0 400 2421 3151 0
c4 0 129 914 2509 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51104 2357 80 22 0
c1 916 4063 932 166 0
c2 66 1867 3052 1205 0
c3 1 595 2376 2791 0
c4 0 190 986 2607 0


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