Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-02-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52288 1918 8 5 0
c1 691 5460 792 116 0
c2 34 2182 3367 1195 0
c3 2 453 1854 2983 0
c4 0 113 596 1929 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52620 1924 8 0 0
c1 1005 5769 954 75 0
c2 10 1998 3366 1196 0
c3 0 341 1562 3190 0
c4 0 40 517 1561 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51524 1842 14 7 0
c1 1399 5751 635 105 0
c2 11 2274 3171 1066 0
c3 0 431 1621 3180 0
c4 0 111 579 1482 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51549 1631 7 1 0
c1 1603 5834 463 114 0
c2 81 2327 3158 1113 0
c3 1 591 1702 2843 0
c4 0 213 683 1874 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51616 1639 9 1 0
c1 1539 5872 459 114 0
c2 78 2299 3173 1124 0
c3 1 574 1680 2835 0
c4 0 212 692 1871 0

Date: 2022-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52451 1730 18 3 0
c1 1305 5528 595 142 0
c2 69 2124 3210 1261 0
c3 13 534 1714 2873 0
c4 0 248 744 1797 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52485 1750 20 4 0
c1 1275 5526 597 137 0
c2 66 2123 3203 1294 0
c3 12 519 1715 2830 0
c4 0 246 746 1811 0

Date: 2022-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52010 1941 24 0 0
c1 1007 6642 882 56 0
c2 57 1603 3206 1100 0
c3 12 369 1761 3181 0
c4 0 65 594 1876 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51775 1995 46 1 0
c1 1219 6172 1023 146 0
c2 66 1783 3198 1403 0
c3 24 487 1538 2846 0
c4 2 183 662 1817 0

Date: 2022-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50194 2134 39 5 0
c1 1020 6626 986 100 0
c2 56 1635 3069 1218 0
c3 9 369 1662 3149 0
c4 0 54 770 1899 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49986 2137 61 14 0
c1 1214 6173 1119 181 0
c2 62 1842 2866 1579 0
c3 17 490 1617 2793 0
c4 0 176 863 1804 0

Date: 2022-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50228 1817 43 0 0
c1 916 6515 941 114 0
c2 11 2015 2880 1015 0
c3 2 467 1897 2944 0
c4 0 58 777 1938 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50063 1796 57 7 0
c1 1064 6161 994 235 0
c2 30 2173 2821 1163 0
c3 0 562 1824 2767 0
c4 0 180 842 1839 0


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