Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-01-27

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2022-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52414 1978 27 54 0
c1 595 4700 533 98 0
c2 60 2391 2873 851 0
c3 20 760 2515 3877 0
c4 4 224 637 1445 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52667 1957 26 8 0
c1 901 4637 318 126 0
c2 126 2673 2855 851 0
c3 50 1360 2463 3195 0
c4 0 312 733 1151 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53257 1630 43 15 0
c1 1197 4051 499 75 0
c2 293 2757 2675 756 0
c3 36 2041 2208 3115 0
c4 0 373 1091 1753 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53069 1864 31 18 0
c1 1039 5117 523 90 0
c2 139 2603 2986 849 0
c3 1 1863 2142 3092 0
c4 0 289 925 1692 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53055 1900 30 17 0
c1 1047 5070 554 94 0
c2 145 2611 2938 863 0
c3 1 1875 2164 3081 0
c4 0 280 921 1686 0

Date: 2022-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52276 2015 24 37 0
c1 655 5405 617 132 0
c2 14 2539 3286 779 0
c3 2 1168 2622 3154 0
c4 0 156 961 1881 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52281 2018 29 33 0
c1 650 5446 618 136 0
c2 16 2495 3292 789 0
c3 0 1164 2619 3121 0
c4 0 160 952 1904 0

Date: 2022-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51603 1875 11 17 0
c1 534 6166 527 94 0
c2 34 2308 3872 1293 0
c3 0 389 2029 3350 0
c4 0 34 607 1628 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51433 1927 23 26 0
c1 663 5121 649 133 0
c2 73 2478 2913 1317 0
c3 2 1068 2484 3221 0
c4 0 178 977 1685 0

Date: 2022-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47214 1691 13 11 0
c1 553 5706 529 146 0
c2 0 2375 3530 1284 0
c3 0 419 1985 3039 0
c4 0 113 737 1849 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46989 1715 20 19 0
c1 711 4774 642 182 0
c2 45 2393 2707 1322 0
c3 22 1081 2335 2783 0
c4 0 341 1090 2023 0

Date: 2022-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52288 1918 8 5 0
c1 691 5460 792 116 0
c2 34 2182 3367 1195 0
c3 2 453 1854 2983 0
c4 0 113 596 1929 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52005 1961 13 12 0
c1 820 4352 898 140 0
c2 110 2489 2619 1162 0
c3 46 1004 2240 2906 0
c4 34 320 847 2008 0


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