Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-01-06

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55126 1884 150 56 0
c1 677 4717 1357 364 0
c2 15 1272 3519 2434 0
c3 5 152 822 2722 0
c4 3 57 281 591 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55240 1904 160 32 0
c1 488 5100 671 172 0
c2 14 1310 2681 1896 0
c3 6 165 937 3412 0
c4 0 141 421 885 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54259 1920 104 35 0
c1 640 5106 699 168 0
c2 0 1620 2789 2195 0
c3 0 220 1481 3965 0
c4 0 137 441 1005 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54745 1851 50 38 0
c1 748 4723 715 115 0
c2 6 1617 2744 2087 0
c3 3 210 1313 3779 0
c4 0 86 371 890 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54733 1853 48 37 0
c1 759 4690 697 113 0
c2 6 1644 2764 2095 0
c3 4 209 1310 3768 0
c4 0 91 374 896 0

Date: 2022-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53632 1758 25 117 0
c1 804 4266 887 140 0
c2 16 1990 2641 1844 0
c3 1 320 1706 3860 0
c4 0 97 470 1167 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53570 1751 24 113 0
c1 867 4265 866 140 0
c2 15 2013 2675 1864 0
c3 1 305 1693 3833 0
c4 0 97 471 1178 0

Date: 2022-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53785 1655 14 119 0
c1 481 4507 759 96 0
c2 9 1439 2484 1256 0
c3 2 323 1691 3954 0
c4 0 101 503 1221 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53251 1602 18 129 0
c1 979 4160 740 108 0
c2 38 1791 2650 1581 0
c3 7 329 1549 3783 0
c4 2 143 494 1045 0

Date: 2022-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55089 1399 25 125 0
c1 753 4109 542 95 0
c2 21 1824 2727 1265 0
c3 13 468 2113 3909 0
c4 3 185 467 1275 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54816 1350 23 132 0
c1 1000 3743 571 122 0
c2 37 2240 2997 1351 0
c3 20 449 1840 3990 0
c4 6 203 443 1074 0

Date: 2022-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54687 1580 41 67 0
c1 840 4138 730 85 0
c2 20 1884 3104 1086 0
c3 2 595 2532 4214 0
c4 0 169 558 1310 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54324 1647 44 77 0
c1 1119 3628 670 101 0
c2 81 2289 3300 1298 0
c3 25 659 2476 4188 0
c4 0 143 475 1098 0


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