Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-12-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60588 2138 21 79 0
c1 1012 5785 1046 268 0
c2 26 1918 3186 1584 0
c3 17 207 1204 2783 0
c4 0 148 339 1380 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58424 2123 35 79 0
c1 745 7271 1358 110 0
c2 0 1852 3451 1447 0
c3 0 262 1704 3522 0
c4 0 35 212 427 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56411 2140 51 90 0
c1 925 7153 1758 132 0
c2 4 1417 3612 1913 0
c3 0 195 2026 4675 0
c4 0 25 191 598 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56428 1762 65 107 0
c1 1055 5646 1730 253 0
c2 1 1430 2988 2326 0
c3 0 253 1797 3617 0
c4 0 67 375 653 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56461 1781 72 112 0
c1 1020 5613 1738 253 0
c2 3 1456 2985 2315 0
c3 0 244 1786 3617 0
c4 0 64 374 659 0

Date: 2021-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56823 1561 119 42 0
c1 1232 6887 1251 304 0
c2 15 1325 3141 2035 0
c3 2 157 1138 3087 0
c4 0 34 268 752 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56879 1636 122 48 0
c1 1176 6774 1278 300 0
c2 15 1372 3125 2041 0
c3 2 143 1123 3074 0
c4 0 39 269 757 0

Date: 2021-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56819 1664 164 44 0
c1 695 6124 1540 150 0
c2 23 1259 3615 2148 0
c3 1 177 1119 3491 0
c4 0 57 389 752 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56617 1739 175 46 0
c1 893 5908 1976 455 0
c2 28 1409 3363 2132 0
c3 0 185 1030 3238 0
c4 0 40 283 714 0

Date: 2021-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55577 1740 145 46 0
c1 661 5893 1273 302 0
c2 15 1257 3840 2080 0
c3 3 168 979 3264 0
c4 0 61 334 647 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55319 1831 163 48 0
c1 916 5584 1601 514 0
c2 21 1500 3580 2278 0
c3 0 168 937 2831 0
c4 0 36 290 668 0

Date: 2021-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55126 1884 150 56 0
c1 677 4717 1357 364 0
c2 15 1272 3519 2434 0
c3 5 152 822 2722 0
c4 3 57 281 591 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54966 1970 157 67 0
c1 821 4431 1512 606 0
c2 28 1490 3453 2648 0
c3 11 139 763 2283 0
c4 0 52 244 563 0


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