Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-12-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65023 2149 42 5 0
c1 730 5938 2148 486 0
c2 5 1149 3902 3288 0
c3 0 223 600 1778 0
c4 0 18 156 395 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65085 2015 38 8 0
c1 455 5211 1590 118 0
c2 6 1113 4774 3091 0
c3 1 114 635 2309 0
c4 0 17 185 507 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63985 2399 70 20 0
c1 538 5140 1076 141 0
c2 11 1041 4699 2728 0
c3 3 137 709 1888 0
c4 0 47 319 391 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62172 2354 21 6 0
c1 588 5262 867 154 0
c2 19 1919 4103 2138 0
c3 7 276 813 1825 0
c4 0 127 356 386 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62123 2391 21 6 0
c1 636 5247 874 156 0
c2 20 1877 4093 2139 0
c3 7 290 810 1823 0
c4 0 133 362 385 0

Date: 2021-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64093 2322 12 20 0
c1 829 5735 777 43 0
c2 14 1737 4177 2135 0
c3 7 234 709 2193 0
c4 1 89 306 425 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64031 2322 11 19 0
c1 890 5707 796 49 0
c2 14 1752 4163 2131 0
c3 8 229 701 2197 0
c4 1 107 310 420 0

Date: 2021-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62876 2661 23 35 0
c1 689 5782 433 20 0
c2 33 2472 3763 1558 0
c3 4 511 1213 2286 0
c4 0 200 550 602 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62360 2603 24 37 0
c1 1186 5976 536 37 0
c2 45 2401 3731 1547 0
c3 9 437 1198 2424 0
c4 2 209 493 456 0

Date: 2021-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61108 2714 30 54 0
c1 770 5813 500 171 0
c2 21 1950 4150 1738 0
c3 7 429 1432 2702 0
c4 2 405 636 685 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60576 2588 31 55 0
c1 1281 5729 699 229 0
c2 35 2112 3937 1756 0
c3 13 465 1603 2760 0
c4 3 417 478 550 0

Date: 2021-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 60000 2269 33 35 0
c1 875 5557 508 125 0
c2 31 1906 3639 2034 0
c3 14 296 1293 3002 0
c4 0 165 586 972 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59612 2214 34 37 0
c1 1251 5263 618 229 0
c2 34 2189 3446 2036 0
c3 13 280 1344 3133 0
c4 10 247 617 733 0


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